4091:TSENippon Sanso Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nippon Sanso is trading at ¥5,564, which sits below its 20‑day (¥5,735) and 50‑day (¥5,799) moving averages, while the 200‑day average remains supportive at ¥5,366. The RSI of 45 and a bearish MACD histogram (‑¥3.0) signal a neutral‑to‑slightly bearish short‑term outlook, compounded by decreasing volume and a high 30‑day volatility of roughly 49%. On the fundamentals side, the company posted 7.5% revenue growth, a solid 42.8% gross margin, and a 9.1% profit margin, delivering a healthy ROE of 11.2% and a modest dividend yield of 1.19% with a low payout ratio of 21.6%, indicating sustainable income. However, the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 70%, and net debt far exceeds cash, adding leverage risk. Analyst consensus targets around ¥6,100 suggest about 9% upside, aligning with a fair valuation despite the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥4,066. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with a blend of growth and value attributes, offering modest dividend income while navigating moderate leverage and sector cyclicality.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price below short‑term SMAs and bearish MACD
- High recent volatility and decreasing volume
- Proximity to recent support level at ¥5,164
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Revenue growth of 7.5% with strong margins
- Analyst target price around ¥6,100 implying ~9% upside
- Sustainable dividend yield and low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Diversified global gas business with stable cash flows
- Low beta (0.28) indicating defensive characteristics
- Consistent earnings generation and dividend sustainability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.