4063:TSEShin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time
¥5,800.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥5,800.00, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. It has lost 16.8% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 32.7 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥5,785.00 and resistance at ¥6,508.00.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 23.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 34.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a 18.4% profit margin. The 1.98% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 37.4%, a beta of 0.76 and a maximum drawdown of 27.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 23.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 34.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a 18.4% profit margin. The 1.98% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 37.4%, a beta of 0.76 and a maximum drawdown of 27.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.
Top Market Events
Shin-Etsu Chemical TSE:4063 has launched a large self-tender share buyback, signaling a major capital allocation move...Exploring the Strategic Portfolio Adjustments in Q2 2026Barron's1monShin-Etsu Chemical Co. Ltd.About Shin-Etsu Chemical Co. Ltd. Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6133.98
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of -16.8%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6133.98
- Analyst targets imply +34.0% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +34.0% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 18.4% is healthy
- P/E ratio of 23.0
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.40%
Profit Margin18.36%
P/E Ratio23.0
ROE11.23%
ROA7.29%
Debt/Equity5.49
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow¥746.0B
Free Cash Flow¥243.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI32.7
Support¥5,785.00
Resistance¥6,508.00
MA 20¥6,101.40
MA 50¥6,508.48
MA 200¥6,133.99
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,848.27
Target Price¥7,774.71
Upside/Downside34.05%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.98%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.76
Volatility37.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.