4063:TSEShin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd analysis
Data as of Oct 13, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- ¥6,072.00
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
At ¥6,072.00, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has gained 1.8% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 52.7 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥5,628.00 and resistance at ¥6,341.00.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 24.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 27.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a 18.4% profit margin. The 1.91% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 21.7%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 27.1%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 24.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 27.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 5.4% on a 18.4% profit margin. The 1.91% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 21.7%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 27.1%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Top market events
- Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd shares in Japan remain in focus after the group reported Q4 2026 results i
- Shin-Etsu Chemical drew attention after Japan Credit Rating Agency affirmed its long-term issuer rat
- Exploring the Strategic Portfolio Adjustments in Q2 2026
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6279.20
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6279.20
- Analyst targets imply +27.8% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +27.8% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 18.4% is healthy
- P/E ratio of 24.0
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth5.40%
Profit Margin18.36%
P/E Ratio24.0
ROE11.23%
ROA7.29%
Debt/Equity5.49
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow¥746.0B
Free Cash Flow¥243.6B
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.7
Support¥5,628.00
Resistance¥6,341.00
MA 20¥5,938.85
MA 50¥5,988.76
MA 200¥6,279.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.16
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,775.73
Target Price¥7,762.94
Upside/Downside27.85%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.91%
Risk assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility21.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.