4021:TSENissan Chemical Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
SAR 5.46
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook is bearish: the stock trades at SAR 5.46, below its 20‑day (SAR 5.57), 50‑day (SAR 5.65) and 200‑day (SAR 6.92) moving averages, RSI sits at 45, and the MACD histogram is negative, signalling downward momentum. Liquidity is improving with an increasing volume trend, yet the price is trapped between a support of SAR 5.18 and resistance near SAR 6.03. Valuation is stretched: the DCF fair value is only SAR 2.12, far below the market price, while the trailing P/E of 39 exceeds the industry average of 27, and the P/B of 4.38 is high for a healthcare‑facility operator. Fundamentals are weak: revenue has collapsed (‑99.9% growth), free cash flow is zero, and the payout ratio of 71% on modest earnings raises concerns about dividend sustainability. Market sentiment is overly optimistic, reflected by an extreme‑greed Fear & Greed index (91.5).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Bearish MACD and RSI near neutral
- Overvaluation relative to DCF and peers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.3% if cash flow improves
- Low beta (0.26) limiting market volatility exposure
- Uncertain revenue trajectory and high payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue decline and zero free cash flow
- Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic value
- Risk of dividend cuts due to earnings weakness
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-99.90%
Profit Margin5.43%
P/E Ratio39.0
Debt/Equity6.26
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowSAR14.8M
Industry P/E27.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.2
SupportSAR 5.18
ResistanceSAR 6.03
MA 20SAR 5.57
MA 50SAR 5.65
MA 200SAR 6.92
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 2.12
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.30%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.26
Volatility28.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.