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4021:TSENissan Chemical Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

SAR 5.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook is bearish: the stock trades at SAR 5.46, below its 20‑day (SAR 5.57), 50‑day (SAR 5.65) and 200‑day (SAR 6.92) moving averages, RSI sits at 45, and the MACD histogram is negative, signalling downward momentum. Liquidity is improving with an increasing volume trend, yet the price is trapped between a support of SAR 5.18 and resistance near SAR 6.03. Valuation is stretched: the DCF fair value is only SAR 2.12, far below the market price, while the trailing P/E of 39 exceeds the industry average of 27, and the P/B of 4.38 is high for a healthcare‑facility operator. Fundamentals are weak: revenue has collapsed (‑99.9% growth), free cash flow is zero, and the payout ratio of 71% on modest earnings raises concerns about dividend sustainability. Market sentiment is overly optimistic, reflected by an extreme‑greed Fear & Greed index (91.5).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI near neutral
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF and peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield of 3.3% if cash flow improves
  • Low beta (0.26) limiting market volatility exposure
  • Uncertain revenue trajectory and high payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue decline and zero free cash flow
  • Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic value
  • Risk of dividend cuts due to earnings weakness

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-99.90%
Profit Margin5.43%
P/E Ratio39.0
Debt/Equity6.26
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowSAR14.8M
Industry P/E27.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.2
SupportSAR 5.18
ResistanceSAR 6.03
MA 20SAR 5.57
MA 50SAR 5.65
MA 200SAR 6.92
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 2.12
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.30%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility28.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.