4017:TADAWULDr. Soliman Abdul Kader Fakeeh Hospital Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
SAR 35.98
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock trades at SAR 35.98, hovering just above its 20‑day SMA (≈35.56) and 50‑day SMA (≈34.39), while the 200‑day SMA sits higher at ≈36.59, indicating a **neutral price bias**. Momentum metrics are mixed: the RSI sits around 56, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but the MACD shows a bearish histogram and the signal line is below the MACD line, hinting at short‑term downward pressure. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, and the beta of roughly 0.12 signals very low market‑related volatility, yet the 30‑day price volatility is high at nearly 29%, reflecting internal price swings.
From a valuation perspective, the market price is more than double the DCF‑derived fair value of SAR 17, placing the stock in the **overvalued** category despite a PE ratio that mirrors the industry average. The dividend yield of 0.83% is modest but supported by a low payout ratio (~23%) and positive operating cash flow, making the payout **sustainable**. Analyst price targets (median SAR 44) imply limited upside, while the current upside/downside metric suggests modest upside potential relative to the existing overvaluation.
From a valuation perspective, the market price is more than double the DCF‑derived fair value of SAR 17, placing the stock in the **overvalued** category despite a PE ratio that mirrors the industry average. The dividend yield of 0.83% is modest but supported by a low payout ratio (~23%) and positive operating cash flow, making the payout **sustainable**. Analyst price targets (median SAR 44) imply limited upside, while the current upside/downside metric suggests modest upside potential relative to the existing overvaluation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside pressure
- Decreasing volume trend reducing price momentum
- Current price near resistance level of SAR 37
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst median target price of SAR 44 suggests upside potential
- Low beta and stable healthcare sector fundamentals
- Sustainable dividend offering modest income
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Fundamentals show modest revenue growth and thin margins
- Significant gap between market price and DCF fair value
- Stable regulatory environment for Saudi healthcare providers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin8.23%
P/E Ratio27.7
Debt/Equity32.85
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowSAR372.8M
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.0
SupportSAR 33.84
ResistanceSAR 37.00
MA 20SAR 35.56
MA 50SAR 34.39
MA 200SAR 36.59
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 17.02
Target PriceSAR 42.02
Upside/Downside16.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility28.95%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.