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4017:TADAWULDr. Soliman Abdul Kader Fakeeh Hospital Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

SAR 35.98

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at SAR 35.98, hovering just above its 20‑day SMA (≈35.56) and 50‑day SMA (≈34.39), while the 200‑day SMA sits higher at ≈36.59, indicating a **neutral price bias**. Momentum metrics are mixed: the RSI sits around 56, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, but the MACD shows a bearish histogram and the signal line is below the MACD line, hinting at short‑term downward pressure. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, and the beta of roughly 0.12 signals very low market‑related volatility, yet the 30‑day price volatility is high at nearly 29%, reflecting internal price swings.
From a valuation perspective, the market price is more than double the DCF‑derived fair value of SAR 17, placing the stock in the **overvalued** category despite a PE ratio that mirrors the industry average. The dividend yield of 0.83% is modest but supported by a low payout ratio (~23%) and positive operating cash flow, making the payout **sustainable**. Analyst price targets (median SAR 44) imply limited upside, while the current upside/downside metric suggests modest upside potential relative to the existing overvaluation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside pressure
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing price momentum
  • Current price near resistance level of SAR 37

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median target price of SAR 44 suggests upside potential
  • Low beta and stable healthcare sector fundamentals
  • Sustainable dividend offering modest income

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamentals show modest revenue growth and thin margins
  • Significant gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • Stable regulatory environment for Saudi healthcare providers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin8.23%
P/E Ratio27.7
Debt/Equity32.85
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowSAR372.8M
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.0
SupportSAR 33.84
ResistanceSAR 37.00
MA 20SAR 35.56
MA 50SAR 34.39
MA 200SAR 36.59
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 17.02
Target PriceSAR 42.02
Upside/Downside16.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.83%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility28.95%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.