4005:TSESumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time
SAR 113.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
National Medical Care Company is trading above its short‑term moving averages with a bullish MACD crossover, while remaining below the long‑term average, suggesting short‑term upside but a longer‑term headwind. The RSI sits in a neutral zone and volume is on the rise, supporting the technical case for a modest near‑term rally toward the identified resistance.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple well below the industry average and offers a solid dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. However, operating and free cash flow are negative and debt exceeds cash, flagging liquidity concerns that temper the upside. Analysts maintain a buy consensus with a target price implying notable upside, but the modest revenue growth and cash‑flow deficits suggest caution on the longer horizon.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple well below the industry average and offers a solid dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. However, operating and free cash flow are negative and debt exceeds cash, flagging liquidity concerns that temper the upside. Analysts maintain a buy consensus with a target price implying notable upside, but the modest revenue growth and cash‑flow deficits suggest caution on the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term resistance with bullish MACD
- Neutral RSI and increasing volume
- Potential pullback if resistance holds
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to industry PE
- Attractive dividend yield and payout ratio
- Analyst consensus and target price upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Negative cash‑flow generation and higher debt levels
- Stable earnings margins but limited revenue growth
- Long‑term exposure to Saudi healthcare regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin17.81%
P/E Ratio17.7
ROE15.79%
ROA7.15%
Debt/Equity38.35
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowSAR-31864676
Free Cash FlowSAR-305705632
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.6
SupportSAR 102.30
ResistanceSAR 117.60
MA 20SAR 110.66
MA 50SAR 106.88
MA 200SAR 132.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.63
Valuation
Target PriceSAR 133.43
Upside/Downside18.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.65%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.05
Volatility38.00%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.