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4005:TSESumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time

SAR 113.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

National Medical Care Company is trading above its short‑term moving averages with a bullish MACD crossover, while remaining below the long‑term average, suggesting short‑term upside but a longer‑term headwind. The RSI sits in a neutral zone and volume is on the rise, supporting the technical case for a modest near‑term rally toward the identified resistance.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple well below the industry average and offers a solid dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. However, operating and free cash flow are negative and debt exceeds cash, flagging liquidity concerns that temper the upside. Analysts maintain a buy consensus with a target price implying notable upside, but the modest revenue growth and cash‑flow deficits suggest caution on the longer horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term resistance with bullish MACD
  • Neutral RSI and increasing volume
  • Potential pullback if resistance holds

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE
  • Attractive dividend yield and payout ratio
  • Analyst consensus and target price upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Negative cash‑flow generation and higher debt levels
  • Stable earnings margins but limited revenue growth
  • Long‑term exposure to Saudi healthcare regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin17.81%
P/E Ratio17.7
ROE15.79%
ROA7.15%
Debt/Equity38.35
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowSAR-31864676
Free Cash FlowSAR-305705632
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.6
SupportSAR 102.30
ResistanceSAR 117.60
MA 20SAR 110.66
MA 50SAR 106.88
MA 200SAR 132.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.63

Valuation

Target PriceSAR 133.43
Upside/Downside18.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility38.00%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.