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4004:TSEResonac Holdings Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

¥19,100.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Resonac Holdings is trading well above its short‑term moving averages, with the price firmly above the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA, indicating strong momentum. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while volume has been on an upward trend, reinforcing a short‑term bullish bias. However, the RSI is approaching overbought territory and the stock sits near the upper end of its 52‑week range, suggesting limited upside before a potential pullback.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high price‑to‑earnings multiple and a price‑to‑book multiple well above the sector norm, while revenue has been contracting and margins remain modest. Debt levels are substantial relative to equity, and cash flow generation is currently flat, raising concerns about the sustainability of the modest dividend. The extreme greed sentiment in the market adds a speculative tilt to the price action, but the underlying financial profile points to valuation risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bullish MACD and rising volume
  • price near resistance and elevated RSI
  • technical momentum outweighs valuation concerns in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • overvalued multiples relative to earnings and book
  • high debt load and flat cash flow
  • potential upside from semiconductor and electronic materials demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • persistent overvaluation and limited earnings growth
  • significant leverage and weak profitability
  • uncertain cash‑flow generation to support dividend and debt service

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.10%
Profit Margin2.67%
P/E Ratio119.0
ROE5.47%
ROA1.63%
Debt/Equity130.53
P/B Ratio4.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.8
Support¥13,630.00
Resistance¥20,495.00
MA 20¥16,598.75
MA 50¥13,750.54
MA 200¥8,313.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Target Price¥14,551.67
Upside/Downside-23.81%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility72.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.