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4004:TSEResonac Holdings Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

SAR 112.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Current price SAR 112.2 sits just above the 20‑day SMA (108.6) but below the 50‑day SMA (116.7), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bearish bias (trend_direction: bearish). The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged bullish, while RSI hovers around 50.7, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volatility is elevated at 38% over the past 30 days and beta is essentially neutral (‑0.02), meaning price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market movements. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 72.9 (“Greed”), reflecting a market appetite for risk despite the technical downside.
Fundamentally, Dallah Healthcare shows robust revenue growth of 25% YoY and a PE of 20.8, well below the industry average of 26.2, hinting at relative undervaluation. However, the DCF fair value (SAR 104) is below the current market price, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (74%) combined with negative free cash flow raises sustainability concerns. The dividend yield of 1.78% with a 37% payout ratio is modest, and the recent cash dividend announcement (0.50 SAR, ex‑date Mar 25) provides a short‑term boost but may strain cash resources. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced with a blend of growth and value characteristics, but financial leverage and cash flow constraints temper optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support/resistance zone (90‑120)
  • Neutral technical indicators (RSI ~50, bullish MACD histogram)
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (25% YoY)
  • PE below industry average indicating relative undervaluation
  • Dividend payout at a modest 37% of earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in Saudi Arabia's expanding healthcare sector
  • Potential upside from Vision 2030 health initiatives
  • Current price offers a margin of safety despite debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.20%
Profit Margin14.23%
P/E Ratio20.8
ROE12.94%
ROA4.88%
Debt/Equity74.42
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowSAR526.3M
Free Cash FlowSAR-232599632
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.7
SupportSAR 90.00
ResistanceSAR 120.00
MA 20SAR 108.62
MA 50SAR 116.74
MA 200SAR 129.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 104.07
Target PriceSAR 137.74
Upside/Downside22.76%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.78%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility38.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.