4004:TSEResonac Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
SAR 112.20
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Current price SAR 112.2 sits just above the 20‑day SMA (108.6) but below the 50‑day SMA (116.7), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bearish bias (trend_direction: bearish). The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged bullish, while RSI hovers around 50.7, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volatility is elevated at 38% over the past 30 days and beta is essentially neutral (‑0.02), meaning price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market movements. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 72.9 (“Greed”), reflecting a market appetite for risk despite the technical downside.
Fundamentally, Dallah Healthcare shows robust revenue growth of 25% YoY and a PE of 20.8, well below the industry average of 26.2, hinting at relative undervaluation. However, the DCF fair value (SAR 104) is below the current market price, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (74%) combined with negative free cash flow raises sustainability concerns. The dividend yield of 1.78% with a 37% payout ratio is modest, and the recent cash dividend announcement (0.50 SAR, ex‑date Mar 25) provides a short‑term boost but may strain cash resources. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced with a blend of growth and value characteristics, but financial leverage and cash flow constraints temper optimism.
Fundamentally, Dallah Healthcare shows robust revenue growth of 25% YoY and a PE of 20.8, well below the industry average of 26.2, hinting at relative undervaluation. However, the DCF fair value (SAR 104) is below the current market price, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (74%) combined with negative free cash flow raises sustainability concerns. The dividend yield of 1.78% with a 37% payout ratio is modest, and the recent cash dividend announcement (0.50 SAR, ex‑date Mar 25) provides a short‑term boost but may strain cash resources. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced with a blend of growth and value characteristics, but financial leverage and cash flow constraints temper optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support/resistance zone (90‑120)
- Neutral technical indicators (RSI ~50, bullish MACD histogram)
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (25% YoY)
- PE below industry average indicating relative undervaluation
- Dividend payout at a modest 37% of earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in Saudi Arabia's expanding healthcare sector
- Potential upside from Vision 2030 health initiatives
- Current price offers a margin of safety despite debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth25.20%
Profit Margin14.23%
P/E Ratio20.8
ROE12.94%
ROA4.88%
Debt/Equity74.42
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowSAR526.3M
Free Cash FlowSAR-232599632
Industry P/E26.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.7
SupportSAR 90.00
ResistanceSAR 120.00
MA 20SAR 108.62
MA 50SAR 116.74
MA 200SAR 129.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 104.07
Target PriceSAR 137.74
Upside/Downside22.76%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.78%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.02
Volatility38.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.