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4002:TADAWULMouwasat Medical Services Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

SAR 71.85

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mouwasat Medical Services is trading at SAR 71.85, comfortably above its 20‑day (64.62) and 50‑day (66.46) SMAs and just above the 200‑day SMA (71.59), indicating short‑term momentum despite a technical label of “bearish.” The RSI of 66.9 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, while a bullish MACD histogram (+1.17) and increasing volume reinforce a near‑term upside bias toward the resistance level of 72.90. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing PE of 19x is well below the industry average of 26x, and the DCF‑derived fair value of 111.25 implies roughly 25% upside. The company delivers a solid 4.23% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 53%, strong ROE of 21.6%, and manageable leverage (debt‑to‑equity 27%).
The risk profile is tempered by a very low beta of 0.11 and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment index, but 30‑day volatility is high at nearly 39% and the max drawdown sits around -25.8%. Overall, the stock appears undervalued with a blend of growth and value characteristics, a sustainable dividend, and a long‑term upside thesis anchored by its DCF estimate.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover with positive histogram
  • Price above short‑term SMAs indicating momentum
  • High dividend yield supporting total return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap vs industry (PE 19 vs 26)
  • Revenue growth of 17% and strong operating margins
  • Sustainable dividend reinforcing cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value of 111.25 suggesting ~25% upside
  • Low beta and stable earnings indicating defensive profile
  • Robust ROE and manageable leverage supporting durability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.10%
Profit Margin25.51%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE21.59%
Debt/Equity27.33
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowSAR1.2B
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI66.9
SupportSAR 58.65
ResistanceSAR 72.90
MA 20SAR 64.62
MA 50SAR 66.46
MA 200SAR 71.59
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.73

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 111.25
Target PriceSAR 89.88
Upside/Downside25.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.23%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility38.80%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.