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3923:TSERAKUS Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

¥888.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rakus Co., Ltd. is trading at ¥888, which sits below the 20‑day SMA of ¥955 but just above the 50‑day SMA of ¥883, placing the stock in a neutral technical zone. The MACD is bearish (histogram –13.1) and the RSI at 42.6 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the price hovers near the identified support level of ¥820 and faces resistance around ¥1,080.5. Despite a high 30‑day volatility of 52%, the computed beta of 0.46 indicates the stock moves less than the broader market, tempering systematic risk.
Fundamentally, Rakus delivers strong growth with ¥60.3 bn of revenue expanding 19.7% YoY, a robust gross margin of 75%, operating margin of 30% and an exceptional ROE of 55%. The balance sheet is pristine – zero debt, ¥13.9 bn cash and a low payout ratio of 19% supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 0.86%. Forward earnings are projected at ¥59.73, slashing the forward PE to 14.9 versus a trailing PE of 24.1, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥915 suggests a modest undervaluation with a 25% upside potential. Analyst consensus (8 analysts) rates the stock as a “buy.”

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price below 20‑day SMA
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE
  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Debt‑free balance sheet with ample cash
  • Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
  • Long‑term industry tailwinds in cloud services

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.70%
Profit Margin22.05%
P/E Ratio24.1
ROE55.38%
ROA31.78%
P/B Ratio12.2
Op. Cash Flow¥13.4B
Free Cash Flow¥10.6B
Industry P/E36.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.7
Support¥820.00
Resistance¥1,080.50
MA 20¥955.71
MA 50¥882.73
MA 200¥1,040.49
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.45

Valuation

Fair Value¥915.34
Target Price¥1,113.13
Upside/Downside25.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility52.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.