3918:HKEXNagaCorp Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time
¥1,205.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PCI Holdings is trading just above its 20‑day simple moving average while remaining below the 200‑day average, signaling a neutral price stance. Relative Strength Index sits in the upper‑mid range, hinting at modest overbought pressure, and the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting short‑term downside momentum. Volume trends are weakening, and the stock’s 30‑day volatility is moderate, while a beta below one points to lower systematic risk. These technical cues combine to paint a cautiously balanced short‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, the company appears significantly undervalued: its price‑to‑earnings multiple is well beneath the sector average and the discounted cash‑flow model implies a much higher intrinsic price. A dividend yield in the high single digits, coupled with a payout ratio around half of earnings, underscores strong cash generation. The balance sheet is solid, with ample cash, minimal debt, and respectable return metrics, supporting a sustainable dividend and long‑term value proposition.
Fundamentally, the company appears significantly undervalued: its price‑to‑earnings multiple is well beneath the sector average and the discounted cash‑flow model implies a much higher intrinsic price. A dividend yield in the high single digits, coupled with a payout ratio around half of earnings, underscores strong cash generation. The balance sheet is solid, with ample cash, minimal debt, and respectable return metrics, supporting a sustainable dividend and long‑term value proposition.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential near‑term pullback
- Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term price support
- RSI in the upper‑mid range suggesting limited upside momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
- High dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
- PE ratio far below industry average, indicating price discount
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash generation and low leverage supporting dividend sustainability
- Stable operating margins and reasonable ROE delivering consistent returns
- Undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value offering upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin4.21%
P/E Ratio10.6
ROE11.55%
ROA6.10%
Debt/Equity3.09
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥1.2B
Free Cash Flow¥1.0B
Industry P/E32.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI62.5
Support¥1,070.00
Resistance¥1,234.00
MA 20¥1,174.15
MA 50¥1,097.42
MA 200¥1,202.54
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,798.39
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.88
Volatility27.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.