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3918:HKEXNagaCorp Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

¥1,205.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PCI Holdings is trading just above its 20‑day simple moving average while remaining below the 200‑day average, signaling a neutral price stance. Relative Strength Index sits in the upper‑mid range, hinting at modest overbought pressure, and the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting short‑term downside momentum. Volume trends are weakening, and the stock’s 30‑day volatility is moderate, while a beta below one points to lower systematic risk. These technical cues combine to paint a cautiously balanced short‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, the company appears significantly undervalued: its price‑to‑earnings multiple is well beneath the sector average and the discounted cash‑flow model implies a much higher intrinsic price. A dividend yield in the high single digits, coupled with a payout ratio around half of earnings, underscores strong cash generation. The balance sheet is solid, with ample cash, minimal debt, and respectable return metrics, supporting a sustainable dividend and long‑term value proposition.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential near‑term pullback
  • Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term price support
  • RSI in the upper‑mid range suggesting limited upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • High dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
  • PE ratio far below industry average, indicating price discount

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash generation and low leverage supporting dividend sustainability
  • Stable operating margins and reasonable ROE delivering consistent returns
  • Undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value offering upside potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin4.21%
P/E Ratio10.6
ROE11.55%
ROA6.10%
Debt/Equity3.09
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥1.2B
Free Cash Flow¥1.0B
Industry P/E32.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.5
Support¥1,070.00
Resistance¥1,234.00
MA 20¥1,174.15
MA 50¥1,097.42
MA 200¥1,202.54
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,798.39
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility27.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.