390:HKEXChina Railway Group Limited Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
¥406.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Collabos Corp is currently trading at ¥406, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈¥397) and 50‑day (≈¥358) simple moving averages, indicating a bullish price bias. The RSI sits near 60, leaving headroom before overbought conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum could soften. Volume has been trending down, which may limit upside vigor as the price approaches the identified resistance around ¥417.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced: a trailing P/E of ~13.8 is well below the industry average of ~33.7, classifying it as undervalued, and the dividend yield of 2.96% is backed by a zero‑payout‑ratio and a cash‑rich balance sheet (cash > ¥1.3bn vs debt ¥0.2bn). However, revenue has contracted by roughly 10% YoY and operating cash flow is flat, highlighting earnings sustainability concerns despite solid margins and a modest ROE of ~9%.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced: a trailing P/E of ~13.8 is well below the industry average of ~33.7, classifying it as undervalued, and the dividend yield of 2.96% is backed by a zero‑payout‑ratio and a cash‑rich balance sheet (cash > ¥1.3bn vs debt ¥0.2bn). However, revenue has contracted by roughly 10% YoY and operating cash flow is flat, highlighting earnings sustainability concerns despite solid margins and a modest ROE of ~9%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price above short‑term moving averages
- MACD bearish divergence
- decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation discount
- strong cash position
- attractive dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- sustainable dividend
- low beta and defensive profile
- ongoing revenue decline
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.30%
Profit Margin6.76%
P/E Ratio13.8
ROE9.26%
ROA3.53%
Debt/Equity15.09
P/B Ratio1.4
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.4
Support¥378.00
Resistance¥417.00
MA 20¥397.10
MA 50¥357.74
MA 200¥343.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility35.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.