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3861:TSEOji Holdings Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

¥800.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Oji Holdings is trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, while the Relative Strength Index sits in a neutral zone and the MACD histogram shows a modest bullish tilt. Volume has been on a downtrend and the stock exhibits high short‑term volatility, but its beta is exceptionally low, suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves. Fundamentally, the company offers a generous dividend yield and attractive valuation multiples such as a low price‑to‑book ratio, yet it carries a substantial debt burden and free cash flow is currently flat. Analyst consensus points to a higher target price, and the discounted cash‑flow model implies a considerably lower intrinsic value, creating a modest upside potential. Overall, the blend of defensive dividend income and value‑oriented pricing competes with the risks of high leverage and a bearish technical environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • decreasing trading volume
  • bearish trend despite a slight MACD histogram boost

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • low valuation multiples relative to book and sales
  • high dividend yield offering income cushion
  • analyst target prices above current market level

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • strong operating cash flow supporting dividend payments
  • very low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • significant debt load that may limit upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin2.99%
P/E Ratio23.2
ROE5.02%
ROA0.81%
Debt/Equity84.08
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow¥113.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support¥754.50
Resistance¥812.30
MA 20¥783.43
MA 50¥813.86
MA 200¥845.01
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.2

Valuation

Fair Value¥241.43
Target Price¥900.00
Upside/Downside12.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.53%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility23.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.