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3861:TSEOji Holdings Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

¥777.10

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Oji Holdings is trading at ¥777.1, which sits exactly on the calculated support level of ¥777.1 and well below its 20‑day (¥822.6), 50‑day (¥850.9) and 200‑day (¥842.7) moving averages, indicating a short‑term price weakness. The RSI of 30.3 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (line –14.59 vs signal –11.52) and a negative histogram reinforce the down‑trend bias. Despite the technical pressure, volume is increasing, which could provide the liquidity needed for a modest rebound from support. Fundamentally, the company offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.54% with a high payout ratio of 86.9%, but free cash flow is zero and debt‑to‑equity is a steep 84, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics show a forward PE of 10.2 versus a trailing PE of 22.5, and analysts’ median target of ¥1,030 implies roughly 30% upside from the current price. The low beta of 0.09 points to minimal market‑risk sensitivity, yet the high leverage and modest profitability (ROE 5%) temper the bullish outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price resting on technical support
  • RSI near oversold levels
  • Rising trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets suggest ~30% upside
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Low market beta reducing volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Zero free cash flow
  • Stable but low growth fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin2.99%
P/E Ratio22.5
ROE5.02%
ROA0.81%
Debt/Equity84.08
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow¥113.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.3
Support¥777.10
Resistance¥858.00
MA 20¥822.64
MA 50¥850.91
MA 200¥842.72
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value¥176.52
Target Price¥1,015.00
Upside/Downside30.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility21.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.