3861:TSEOji Holdings Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
¥777.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Oji Holdings is trading at ¥777.1, which sits exactly on the calculated support level of ¥777.1 and well below its 20‑day (¥822.6), 50‑day (¥850.9) and 200‑day (¥842.7) moving averages, indicating a short‑term price weakness. The RSI of 30.3 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (line –14.59 vs signal –11.52) and a negative histogram reinforce the down‑trend bias. Despite the technical pressure, volume is increasing, which could provide the liquidity needed for a modest rebound from support. Fundamentally, the company offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.54% with a high payout ratio of 86.9%, but free cash flow is zero and debt‑to‑equity is a steep 84, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics show a forward PE of 10.2 versus a trailing PE of 22.5, and analysts’ median target of ¥1,030 implies roughly 30% upside from the current price. The low beta of 0.09 points to minimal market‑risk sensitivity, yet the high leverage and modest profitability (ROE 5%) temper the bullish outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price resting on technical support
- RSI near oversold levels
- Rising trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price targets suggest ~30% upside
- Attractive dividend yield
- Low market beta reducing volatility exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Zero free cash flow
- Stable but low growth fundamentals
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin2.99%
P/E Ratio22.5
ROE5.02%
ROA0.81%
Debt/Equity84.08
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow¥113.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI30.3
Support¥777.10
Resistance¥858.00
MA 20¥822.64
MA 50¥850.91
MA 200¥842.72
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value¥176.52
Target Price¥1,015.00
Upside/Downside30.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.54%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility21.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.