3750:HKEXContemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
HK$673.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) is trading at HK$673.5, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ~HK$661 and the 50‑day SMA of ~HK$652, signaling a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. The stock benefits from a robust 52% revenue growth rate, a solid operating margin of ~19%, and a forward EPS outlook of HK$29.5, indicating strong earnings momentum. However, the trailing PE of 33.3 sits above the industry average of 29.5, suggesting a premium valuation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of ~HK$783 implies roughly 9% upside potential. Liquidity remains healthy with cash far exceeding debt, a low payout ratio of 5.7%, and a dividend yield of just 0.53%, making the dividend sustainable. Volatility is elevated at ~54% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.47 points to lower systematic risk, and the Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 reflects extreme market optimism. Overall, the blend of strong fundamentals, modest upside, and a bullish technical backdrop supports a cautious but positive outlook.
Given the decreasing volume trend and the proximity to a resistance near HK$715.5, short‑term traders should monitor price action for potential pull‑backs, while medium‑ and long‑term investors can focus on the company’s growth trajectory in the EV battery sector and its solid balance sheet.
Given the decreasing volume trend and the proximity to a resistance near HK$715.5, short‑term traders should monitor price action for potential pull‑backs, while medium‑ and long‑term investors can focus on the company’s growth trajectory in the EV battery sector and its solid balance sheet.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA alignment and price above short‑term averages
- DCF‑derived upside of ~9% to fair value
- Strong earnings growth and improving forward EPS
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained 50%+ revenue growth driven by EV demand
- Low debt-to-equity and ample cash cushion
- Forward PE compression toward ~22x indicating valuation improvement
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term secular tailwinds in electric vehicle and energy storage markets
- Continued innovation across lithium‑ion, sodium‑ion, and solid‑state batteries
- Solid balance sheet enabling strategic investments and resilience to market cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth52.40%
Profit Margin16.87%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE25.36%
Debt/Equity32.08
P/B Ratio7.4
Op. Cash FlowHK$134.0B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.7
SupportHK$607.00
ResistanceHK$715.50
MA 20HK$661.38
MA 50HK$652.35
MA 200HK$532.08
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$783.10
Target PriceHK$732.85
Upside/Downside8.81%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.53%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility53.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.