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3750:HKEXContemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

HK$673.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) is trading at HK$673.5, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ~HK$661 and the 50‑day SMA of ~HK$652, signaling a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. The stock benefits from a robust 52% revenue growth rate, a solid operating margin of ~19%, and a forward EPS outlook of HK$29.5, indicating strong earnings momentum. However, the trailing PE of 33.3 sits above the industry average of 29.5, suggesting a premium valuation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of ~HK$783 implies roughly 9% upside potential. Liquidity remains healthy with cash far exceeding debt, a low payout ratio of 5.7%, and a dividend yield of just 0.53%, making the dividend sustainable. Volatility is elevated at ~54% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.47 points to lower systematic risk, and the Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 reflects extreme market optimism. Overall, the blend of strong fundamentals, modest upside, and a bullish technical backdrop supports a cautious but positive outlook.
Given the decreasing volume trend and the proximity to a resistance near HK$715.5, short‑term traders should monitor price action for potential pull‑backs, while medium‑ and long‑term investors can focus on the company’s growth trajectory in the EV battery sector and its solid balance sheet.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment and price above short‑term averages
  • DCF‑derived upside of ~9% to fair value
  • Strong earnings growth and improving forward EPS

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained 50%+ revenue growth driven by EV demand
  • Low debt-to-equity and ample cash cushion
  • Forward PE compression toward ~22x indicating valuation improvement

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term secular tailwinds in electric vehicle and energy storage markets
  • Continued innovation across lithium‑ion, sodium‑ion, and solid‑state batteries
  • Solid balance sheet enabling strategic investments and resilience to market cycles

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth52.40%
Profit Margin16.87%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE25.36%
Debt/Equity32.08
P/B Ratio7.4
Op. Cash FlowHK$134.0B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.7
SupportHK$607.00
ResistanceHK$715.50
MA 20HK$661.38
MA 50HK$652.35
MA 200HK$532.08
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$783.10
Target PriceHK$732.85
Upside/Downside8.81%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.53%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility53.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.