3697:TSESHIFT, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
¥631.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SHIFT Inc. (3697.T) trades at ¥631.7, well below its 20‑day (¥678.5) and 50‑day (¥669.5) SMAs, and sits near the identified support level of ¥615.6. The technical picture is mixed: MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, RSI sits at 43 indicating modest momentum, and volume is trending down, while the 30‑day volatility is high at ~68% and beta is low (~0.46), suggesting price swings but limited market‑wide correlation. Fundamentally, the company shows solid strength – 18% revenue growth, 22.6% ROE, a healthy operating margin of 10.9%, and a net‑cash position (¥24.4B cash vs ¥20.1B debt). Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing PE of 19.6 is well under the industry average of 38.1, forward PE plunges to 0.86, and a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥1,036 implies ~59% upside. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index 91.46), yet the stock lacks a dividend, and the high volatility and decreasing volume add short‑term caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support and below key moving averages
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside to DCF fair value
- Strong earnings growth and low forward PE
- Robust cash generation and net‑cash balance
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable revenue growth and high ROE
- Favorable valuation relative to industry peers
- Strategic position in Japan's software testing market with low debt burden
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin6.03%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE22.63%
ROA12.19%
Debt/Equity52.00
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow¥12.7B
Free Cash Flow¥9.4B
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
Support¥615.60
Resistance¥794.40
MA 20¥678.46
MA 50¥669.48
MA 200¥903.21
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,035.75
Target Price¥1,005.00
Upside/Downside59.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.46
Volatility67.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.