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3697:TSESHIFT, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

¥631.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SHIFT Inc. (3697.T) trades at ¥631.7, well below its 20‑day (¥678.5) and 50‑day (¥669.5) SMAs, and sits near the identified support level of ¥615.6. The technical picture is mixed: MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, RSI sits at 43 indicating modest momentum, and volume is trending down, while the 30‑day volatility is high at ~68% and beta is low (~0.46), suggesting price swings but limited market‑wide correlation. Fundamentally, the company shows solid strength – 18% revenue growth, 22.6% ROE, a healthy operating margin of 10.9%, and a net‑cash position (¥24.4B cash vs ¥20.1B debt). Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing PE of 19.6 is well under the industry average of 38.1, forward PE plunges to 0.86, and a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥1,036 implies ~59% upside. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index 91.46), yet the stock lacks a dividend, and the high volatility and decreasing volume add short‑term caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support and below key moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside to DCF fair value
  • Strong earnings growth and low forward PE
  • Robust cash generation and net‑cash balance

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable revenue growth and high ROE
  • Favorable valuation relative to industry peers
  • Strategic position in Japan's software testing market with low debt burden

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin6.03%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE22.63%
ROA12.19%
Debt/Equity52.00
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow¥12.7B
Free Cash Flow¥9.4B
Industry P/E38.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
Support¥615.60
Resistance¥794.40
MA 20¥678.46
MA 50¥669.48
MA 200¥903.21
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,035.75
Target Price¥1,005.00
Upside/Downside59.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility67.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.