3697:TSESHIFT, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-29 - not real-time
¥963.30
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind SHIFT Inc. is bullish at ¥963.30, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. The last 30 days have gained 37.2%. Relative strength is 60.9 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥818.00 and resistance at ¥1,021.00.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 29.9 sits below the sector average of 35.7. The average analyst target implies 4.3% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 29.9% on a 4.4% profit margin. The 0.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 69.9%, a beta of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 61.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 29.9 sits below the sector average of 35.7. The average analyst target implies 4.3% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 29.9% on a 4.4% profit margin. The 0.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 69.9%, a beta of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 61.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Top Market Events
Earlier in July 2026, SHIFT Inc. revised its full-year forecast, lifting expected net sales to ¥160,000 million but...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 781.77
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 29.9 versus sector average of 35.7
- Trading above the 200-day average of 781.77
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 29.9 versus sector average of 35.7
- Revenue growth of +29.9%
- Return on equity of 17.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth29.90%
Profit Margin4.42%
P/E Ratio29.9
ROE17.23%
ROA10.34%
Debt/Equity89.78
P/B Ratio6.4
Industry P/E35.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support¥818.00
Resistance¥1,021.00
MA 20¥910.24
MA 50¥794.15
MA 200¥781.77
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Valuation
Target Price¥921.43
Upside/Downside-4.35%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility69.93%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.