3659:TSENEXON Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time
¥2,229.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NEXON shares are trading at ¥2,229, just below the 20‑day SMA of ¥2,237 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥2,251, and far under the 200‑day SMA of ¥3,081, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, yet the MACD histogram is positive (+4.8) and the RSI sits near 46, suggesting limited oversold pressure. The stock benefits from a stable volume environment and a clear support at ¥2,110, with resistance around ¥2,377.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 33.6% revenue growth, 60% gross margin and 38% operating margin, backed by a strong cash pile of ¥874 bn versus modest debt of ¥51 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value of ¥8,511 implies roughly 33% upside from current levels and a forward PE of 13.3 is well below the industry average, while a 2.64% dividend yield and a 39% payout ratio point to sustainable income. Combined with a low beta of 0.27 and modest 30‑day volatility of 22%, the risk profile is relatively defensive for a growth‑oriented gaming firm.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 33.6% revenue growth, 60% gross margin and 38% operating margin, backed by a strong cash pile of ¥874 bn versus modest debt of ¥51 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value of ¥8,511 implies roughly 33% upside from current levels and a forward PE of 13.3 is well below the industry average, while a 2.64% dividend yield and a 39% payout ratio point to sustainable income. Combined with a low beta of 0.27 and modest 30‑day volatility of 22%, the risk profile is relatively defensive for a growth‑oriented gaming firm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Support level near current price providing downside cushion
- Stable trading volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~33% upside
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.64% with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash position and low leverage
- Consistent profitability and expanding global gaming franchise
- Low beta and defensive volatility profile for a growth company
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth33.60%
Profit Margin23.96%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE11.56%
ROA6.96%
Debt/Equity4.78
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow¥175.6B
Free Cash Flow¥165.2B
Industry P/E16.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support¥2,110.00
Resistance¥2,377.00
MA 20¥2,237.25
MA 50¥2,251.59
MA 200¥3,080.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.25
Valuation
Fair Value¥8,511.42
Target Price¥2,973.44
Upside/Downside33.40%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility22.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.