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3635:TSEKoei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

¥1,878.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Koei Tecmo trades at a trailing P/E of 17.2, just below the industry average of 17.8, suggesting a modest discount on valuation. The company delivers robust 17.8% revenue growth and high profitability, with a gross margin of 62.7% and operating margin of 32.3%. Its dividend yield of 4.56% and a payout ratio near 55% indicate a sustainable income stream backed by ample cash reserves. Technically, the stock sits near the resistance level of 1971 at a price of 1878.5, while the MACD remains bullish and the RSI hovers around 60, reflecting moderate momentum. However, the 30‑day volatility of over 45% and a bearish trend direction flag heightened short‑term risk. The market sentiment leans toward greed (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9), supporting the upside potential of roughly 14%.
The fundamentals are underpinned by a low beta of 0.49, strong cash generation, and diversified revenue streams across entertainment, amusement, and real estate. While high volatility and proximity to resistance suggest caution in the near term, the attractive dividend, solid growth profile, and fair valuation make the stock appealing for medium‑ to long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at 1971
  • Bearish trend direction despite bullish MACD
  • High 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 17.8% with strong margins
  • Attractive dividend yield of 4.56% and sustainable payout
  • Valuation slightly below industry average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified business segments reducing concentration risk
  • Robust cash position supporting dividend stability
  • Reasonable valuation coupled with steady earnings growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.80%
Profit Margin44.04%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE15.95%
ROA7.19%
Debt/Equity8.89
P/B Ratio2.4
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI60.5
Support¥1,567.50
Resistance¥1,971.00
MA 20¥1,762.43
MA 50¥1,763.58
MA 200¥2,011.34
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥2,145.56
Upside/Downside14.22%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.56%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility45.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.