We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

3436:TSESUMCO Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-30 - not real-time

¥3,434.00

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Sumco Corporation trades at ¥3,434.00, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have lost 32.3%. With RSI at 44.4 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥3,210.00 and resistance at ¥4,245.00.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 69.8 versus a 35.7 sector average, above the peer group. The average analyst target implies 12.7% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.4% on a -6.6% profit margin. The 0.58% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 105.1%, a beta of 1.84 and a maximum drawdown of 46.2%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2500.39
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -32.3%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 69.8 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 2500.39
  • Analyst targets imply +12.7% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 69.8 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Negative profit margin of -6.6%
  • Analyst targets imply +12.7% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin-6.61%
P/E Ratio69.8
ROE-4.06%
ROA-1.15%
Debt/Equity57.30
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥92.9B
Free Cash Flow¥13.2B
Industry P/E35.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.4
Support¥3,210.00
Resistance¥4,245.00
MA 20¥3,575.05
MA 50¥3,951.08
MA 200¥2,500.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66

Valuation

Fair Value¥17.13
Target Price¥3,870.00
Upside/Downside12.70%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.84
Volatility105.14%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.