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3401:TSETeijin Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

¥1,542.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Teijin is currently trading below its short‑term moving averages, indicating momentum weakness. The RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. A bearish MACD histogram reinforces the downside bias on the chart. Valuation metrics show the stock priced well above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, implying an overvaluation. The forward price‑to‑earnings multiple remains far below the industry average, highlighting a valuation discount relative to peers. Despite a negative trailing profit margin, the company generates positive operating and free cash flow.
The dividend yield remains attractive and the payout ratio stays under half of earnings, supporting dividend sustainability. Debt levels are high relative to equity, which could constrain future financial flexibility. Volatility over the past month is elevated, while beta is low, indicating the stock moves more on company‑specific news than market swings. Analyst consensus is neutral with a hold recommendation, reflecting mixed views on earnings recovery. The Fear/Greed index currently leans toward greed, suggesting bullish sentiment may be overstated. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented case but faces short‑term technical weakness and balance‑sheet challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • bearish MACD signal
  • negative trailing earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • attractive dividend yield
  • valuation discount to industry peers
  • positive free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • low price‑to‑book ratio
  • diversified product portfolio
  • potential earnings recovery

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin-8.98%
P/E Ratio4.3
ROE-18.94%
ROA3.57%
Debt/Equity99.27
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow¥102.2B
Free Cash Flow¥55.5B
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.9
Support¥1,524.00
Resistance¥1,742.50
MA 20¥1,647.83
MA 50¥1,542.55
MA 200¥1,330.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,588.76
Target Price¥1,328.00
Upside/Downside-13.91%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility37.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.