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3391:TSETSURUHA Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥2,261.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading just above a key support area while the 14‑day RSI indicates oversold conditions and the MACD remains in a bearish configuration. Volume has been tapering, suggesting waning buying pressure, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated, which could amplify short‑term price swings.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation appears stretched, with the price‑earnings multiple well above the sector average, yet the forward earnings multiple hints at a potential earnings uplift. The company offers an attractive dividend yield but sustains a high payout ratio amid modest cash‑flow generation and flat revenue growth. Margins are thin and return metrics are modest, while the balance sheet shows ample cash offset by a moderate debt load. These dynamics suggest a cautious stance, with upside potential contingent on earnings improvement and dividend sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Proximity to technical support
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential earnings upside reflected in forward PE
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Stable sector fundamentals

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position relative to debt
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide risk
  • Possibility of margin and revenue improvement

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin1.40%
P/E Ratio33.7
ROE5.61%
Debt/Equity25.19
P/B Ratio1.8
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.7
Support¥2,174.00
Resistance¥2,784.50
MA 20¥2,512.45
MA 50¥2,574.04
MA 200¥2,486.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥2,802.22
Upside/Downside23.91%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility36.09%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.