3382:TSESeven & I Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
¥1,860.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Seven & i Holdings is trading well below its short‑term moving average, with momentum indicators pointing to a potential short‑term rebound. The Relative Strength Index sits in the lower‑mid range, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at early bullish momentum.
However, the market price remains markedly above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating that the stock is priced for optimism that is not fully supported by fundamentals. Revenue is contracting, free cash flow is negative, and the balance sheet carries a high leverage profile, all of which weigh on the longer‑term outlook despite a generous dividend yield and a moderate payout ratio.
However, the market price remains markedly above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating that the stock is priced for optimism that is not fully supported by fundamentals. Revenue is contracting, free cash flow is negative, and the balance sheet carries a high leverage profile, all of which weigh on the longer‑term outlook despite a generous dividend yield and a moderate payout ratio.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below the 20‑day moving average
- RSI indicating near‑oversold conditions
- MACD histogram turning positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- stock priced above intrinsic value
- negative revenue growth and high leverage
- attractive dividend yield offset by cash flow concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- persistent overvaluation relative to DCF
- negative free cash flow and high debt‑to‑equity ratio
- limited growth prospects in a mature retail segment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-19.00%
Profit Margin3.29%
P/E Ratio15.6
ROE7.61%
ROA2.58%
Debt/Equity103.99
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥666.7B
Free Cash Flow¥-458931109888
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.0
Support¥1,818.50
Resistance¥2,025.00
MA 20¥1,905.93
MA 50¥2,012.96
MA 200¥2,071.74
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,175.81
Target Price¥2,372.00
Upside/Downside27.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.22%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.14
Volatility29.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.