323410:KRXKakaoBank Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
₩23,850.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KakaoBank is trading at 23,850 KRW, well below its 20‑day SMA (26,240 KRW) and 50‑day SMA (24,053 KRW), indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI sits at 44, showing neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces downside pressure. However, the stock remains above its key support at 22,050 KRW and has an upside potential of roughly 15 % to the consensus target median of 26,750 KRW. Valuation is modestly stretched with a forward P/E of 18.9 versus an industry average of 16.4, yet the dividend yield of 1.93 % and a 37 % payout ratio are supported by a massive cash pile of 25.4 trillion KRW and zero debt. Analyst sentiment is positive – 16 analysts rate the stock a “buy” with a mean target of 27,550 KRW, and the market’s fear‑greed index is in “Greed” territory at 72.9, suggesting broader optimism.
The stock’s risk profile is mixed: 30‑day volatility is high at nearly 69 %, but beta is low (0.47), tempering systematic risk. Decreasing volume and a neutral trend signal caution, while the negative operating cash flow raises questions about earnings sustainability despite the ample cash reserves. Overall, the combination of undervalued price relative to technical levels, attractive dividend, and strong balance sheet supports a medium‑to‑long‑term buying case, provided investors monitor cash‑flow trends and volume dynamics.
The stock’s risk profile is mixed: 30‑day volatility is high at nearly 69 %, but beta is low (0.47), tempering systematic risk. Decreasing volume and a neutral trend signal caution, while the negative operating cash flow raises questions about earnings sustainability despite the ample cash reserves. Overall, the combination of undervalued price relative to technical levels, attractive dividend, and strong balance sheet supports a medium‑to‑long‑term buying case, provided investors monitor cash‑flow trends and volume dynamics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Proximity to support level at 22,050 KRW
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Upside potential to consensus target (~15 %)
- Attractive dividend yield with solid cash base
- Positive analyst consensus and “buy” rating
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position as a leading internet bank in South Korea
- Zero debt and large cash reserves supporting dividend sustainability
- Long‑term digital banking growth trends
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.70%
Profit Margin28.19%
P/E Ratio18.9
ROE6.98%
ROA0.68%
Op. Cash Flow₩-5771609243648
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.9
Support₩22,050.00
Resistance₩29,500.00
MA 20₩26,240.00
MA 50₩24,053.00
MA 200₩24,809.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price₩27,550.00
Upside/Downside15.51%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility68.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.