3105:TPEXWin Semiconductors Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
NT$313.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
WIN Semiconductors is trading well above its 20‑day SMA and remains in a bullish price corridor, yet the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. The RSI sits in the low‑60s, suggesting continued upward momentum but without overbought extremes. Recent earnings called out a 29% year‑over‑year revenue jump that beat forecasts, reinforcing the top‑line growth narrative. However, the stock’s trailing P/E of nearly 80 versus a sector average of 34 signals a substantial premium, while volatility approaching 96% over the past month and a beta around 1.0 underscore heightened price swings. Volume trends are weakening, and the price is perched near the upper end of its 52‑week range, facing a resistance around 354 TWD. The modest 0.32% dividend yield is backed by a low payout ratio and ample cash, but the balance sheet is leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 29, adding a layer of financial risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- MACD bearish divergence
- Decreasing volume trend
- Proximity to resistance level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and earnings beat
- High valuation relative to peers
- Solid cash position offset by high debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for GaAs and RF components
- Diversification into biotech and diagnostics
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth29.40%
Profit Margin10.18%
P/E Ratio78.6
ROE2.69%
ROA0.71%
Debt/Equity29.36
P/B Ratio3.2
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.1
SupportNT$216.00
ResistanceNT$354.00
MA 20NT$284.30
MA 50NT$240.73
MA 200NT$136.47
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target PriceNT$204.64
Upside/Downside-34.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.32%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.01
Volatility95.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.