3064:TSEMonotaRO Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
MonotaRO posted a robust 20.8% YoY revenue surge to ¥350.4 bn, underpinning its strong operating margin of ~13.8% and a healthy dividend yield of 1.94% with a 50% payout ratio. Technically, the stock sits slightly above its identified support (¥1,732.5) and below resistance (¥2,006.5), with the 20‑day SMA (¥1,867.9) comfortably under the current price (¥1,907.5). Momentum indicators are neutral‑to‑bullish: RSI hovers at 53, the MACD histogram is positive, and the MACD signal is bullish, though volume trends are decreasing and 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~40%. The market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear‑Greed Index 91.8), suggesting optimism may be overstretched. Overall, the company’s growth narrative is compelling, but valuation multiples (P/E ~29, P/B ~8) appear premium, and the low beta (0.17) indicates limited market‑wide price swings despite high short‑term volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bullish MACD and neutral RSI support upside potential
- Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility increase downside risk
- Current price above short‑term support but below resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Strong revenue growth and solid operating margins
- Premium valuation multiples may limit price appreciation
- Stable dividend payout provides income cushion
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Sustained double‑digit revenue growth in the MRO e‑commerce niche
- Robust cash position relative to debt supports dividend sustainability
- Strategic positioning within a growing internet retail sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.