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3045:TWSETaiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥1,461.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kawasaki & Co., Ltd. is trading at 1,461 JPY, just below its 20‑day SMA of 1,468 and roughly in line with the 50‑day SMA of 1,461, suggesting a modestly bearish short‑term bias. The RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, reinforcing the near‑term downside pressure. Volume is on a decreasing trend, and the 30‑day volatility of about 9% combined with a low beta of 0.15 points to a relatively stable price but limited upside momentum. Valuation metrics are attractive, with a trailing PE of 8.9x and a PB of 0.73x, and the stock offers a 3.42% dividend yield on a 30% payout ratio, which looks appealing on paper. However, the fundamentals raise concerns: revenue has contracted by 5.4% year‑over‑year, operating cash flow and free cash flow are both zero, and the company carries a high net‑debt position (debt‑to‑equity of 23.2) that dwarfs its cash holdings. Operating margins remain solid at 28% and gross margins near 49%, but the lack of cash generation and declining sales undermine the sustainability of earnings. The sector—Consumer Cyclical apparel—tends to be sensitive to economic cycles, adding a layer of sector risk. Geographic exposure is primarily Japan with some international sales, implying moderate geographic and currency risk given the JPY denomination on a TWSE listing. Liquidity is a concern as trading volume has slipped below its 10‑day average, potentially limiting trade execution. In sum, the stock is cheaply priced with a decent dividend, yet the earnings quality, debt load, and weak cash flow suggest caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day SMA and bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning buying interest
  • Neutral RSI suggesting no strong upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation multiples (PE 8.9x, PB 0.73x)
  • Solid dividend yield but cash flow constraints
  • High debt load limiting earnings reinvestment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for turnaround if revenue stabilizes
  • Sustained dividend appeal if cash flow improves
  • Continued sector cyclicality and debt servicing risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.40%
Profit Margin14.13%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE5.17%
ROA2.96%
Debt/Equity23.20
P/B Ratio0.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.0
Support¥1,455.00
Resistance¥1,489.00
MA 20¥1,468.15
MA 50¥1,461.04
MA 200¥1,455.70
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility8.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.