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3038:TSEKobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

₩3,100.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at 3,100 KRW, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 3,265 and its 50‑day SMA of 3,332, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI of 38.8 sits just above the oversold threshold, while the MACD line sits at –102 with a negative histogram, confirming bearish momentum. Volume is on an upward trend, yet the price remains trapped between a clear support at 2,895 and resistance near 3,620, limiting upside potential. The Fear‑Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” suggesting market participants are pricing in optimism despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally the company shows considerable strain: revenue has slipped 2.6 % year‑over‑year, margins are thin (gross margin 25 %, operating margin 8 %, profit margin 6 %) and earnings per share are zero, leaving valuation multiples such as P/E and P/B at zero. Debt is massive, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 29.7, and free‑cash‑flow is deeply negative at –6.7 B KRW, raising concerns about solvency and cash generation. The sector—Healthcare, Medical Instruments & Supplies—carries medium to high regulatory risk, and the company’s high leverage amplifies that exposure.
Given the confluence of bearish technical signals, weak earnings, high leverage and elevated sector risk, the stock appears overvalued relative to its intrinsic fundamentals and carries a high overall risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and RSI below 40
  • price below short‑term SMAs
  • approaching support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • weak earnings and zero EPS
  • high debt load
  • regulatory headwinds

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • fundamental value gap
  • sustained negative cash flow
  • potential for further drawdown

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin6.64%
ROE7.32%
ROA3.98%
Debt/Equity29.68
Op. Cash Flow₩433.6M
Free Cash Flow₩-6736025600
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support₩2,895.00
Resistance₩3,620.00
MA 20₩3,265.25
MA 50₩3,331.90
MA 200₩3,769.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.54

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.62
Volatility24.52%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.