300699:SZSEWeihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
CN¥28.54
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at CNY 28.54, well below its 20‑day (29.86), 50‑day (32.74) and 200‑day (33.33) moving averages, signaling a clear bearish bias. The RSI of 38 hints at modest oversold pressure, while the MACD shows a narrow bullish crossover (histogram +0.13) that is unlikely to reverse the overall downtrend. Volume has been trending lower and 30‑day volatility is high at nearly 40%, suggesting erratic price action and heightened short‑term risk. Support sits around CNY 26.93 and the next resistance is near CNY 34.99, giving the price limited upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, revenue grew 13% YoY to roughly CNY 2.93 bn with solid margins (gross 36%, operating 26%), but the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 29.3 and a generous payout ratio of 72%. The trailing PE of 41.4 versus a forward PE of 23.2 and a DCF‑derived fair value of only CNY 6.4 imply the stock is significantly overvalued at current levels. Nonetheless, a dividend yield of 1.7% and exposure to fast‑growing carbon‑fiber applications in aerospace and renewable energy provide a modest defensive cushion for longer horizons.
Fundamentally, revenue grew 13% YoY to roughly CNY 2.93 bn with solid margins (gross 36%, operating 26%), but the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 29.3 and a generous payout ratio of 72%. The trailing PE of 41.4 versus a forward PE of 23.2 and a DCF‑derived fair value of only CNY 6.4 imply the stock is significantly overvalued at current levels. Nonetheless, a dividend yield of 1.7% and exposure to fast‑growing carbon‑fiber applications in aerospace and renewable energy provide a modest defensive cushion for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- high volatility and decreasing volume
- significant overvaluation relative to DCF
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- steady revenue growth and healthy margins
- moderate dividend yield
- high leverage and elevated valuation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- exposure to expanding carbon‑fiber markets (aerospace, wind)
- potential for earnings improvement as leverage is reduced
- dividend provides some income stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.00%
Profit Margin19.43%
P/E Ratio41.4
ROE9.88%
ROA4.75%
Debt/Equity29.34
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥240.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.0
SupportCN¥26.93
ResistanceCN¥34.99
MA 20CN¥29.86
MA 50CN¥32.74
MA 200CN¥33.33
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.48
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥6.41
Target PriceCN¥38.17
Upside/Downside33.73%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.41
Volatility39.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.