300413:SZSEMango Excellent Media Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CN¥15.95
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mango Excellent Media is trading well below its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, with the current price sitting beneath both the 20‑day and 50‑day averages, indicating a bearish technical backdrop. The 14‑day RSI has slipped into oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, reinforcing downward momentum. Price action hovers just above a clearly defined support level, and trading volume has remained stable, providing a modest cushion against abrupt price swings. Despite a 30‑day volatility that is relatively high, the stock’s beta is low, meaning its price movements are less correlated with broader market swings. Fundamentally, the company delivers modest revenue growth and thin margins, yet it holds a strong cash position and minimal debt, underpinning its ability to sustain dividend payouts. The dividend yield, coupled with a payout ratio well below 50%, points to a sustainable income stream. A discounted cash‑flow analysis suggests a fair value dramatically higher than the current market price, creating a sizable valuation gap. Analyst consensus leans toward a “buy” recommendation, reflecting optimism about the upside potential. However, the company operates in the Chinese internet media space, a sector exposed to heightened regulatory scrutiny and consumer cyclicality. Balancing the technical weakness with a compelling valuation and solid balance sheet, the stock presents a nuanced risk‑reward profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
- price near defined support level
- stable trading volume providing liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation gap to discounted cash‑flow estimate
- sustainable dividend yield
- steady cash generation despite modest growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- exposure to Chinese internet media regulatory environment
- consumer cyclical nature of the sector
- strong balance sheet supporting long‑term resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin7.49%
P/E Ratio28.0
ROE4.50%
ROA0.22%
Debt/Equity0.74
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.0B
Free Cash FlowCN¥8.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.9
SupportCN¥15.51
ResistanceCN¥19.53
MA 20CN¥17.38
MA 50CN¥19.26
MA 200CN¥24.58
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥82.62
Target PriceCN¥22.32
Upside/Downside39.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.38%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.44
Volatility27.31%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.