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300394:SZSESuzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-21 - not real-time

CN¥273.08

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. is neutral at ¥273.08, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Momentum indicators put RSI at 59.3 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥155.55 and resistance around ¥295.00.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 128.2 times earnings against the sector's 35.2. Sell-side targets cluster 16.2% above the current quote. The 0.38% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 109.6%, a beta of 1.03 and a maximum drawdown of 54.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

Barron's14dSuzhou TFC Optical Communication Co.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 212.59
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day volatility of 109.6%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 128.2 versus sector average of 35.2
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 212.59
  • Analyst targets imply +16.2% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 128.2 versus sector average of 35.2
  • Analyst targets imply +16.2% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 42.0% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin41.95%
P/E Ratio128.2
ROE42.43%
ROA25.80%
Debt/Equity0.06
P/B Ratio47.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥949.6M
Industry P/E35.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.3
SupportCN¥155.55
ResistanceCN¥295.00
MA 20CN¥229.22
MA 50CN¥255.24
MA 200CN¥212.59
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.34

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥14.11
Target PriceCN¥317.25
Upside/Downside16.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility109.58%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.