298040:KRXHyosung Heavy Industries Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
₩3,653,000.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hyosung Heavy Industries is trading at KRW 3,653,000, well above its 20‑day SMA of KRW 4,008,700 and comfortably inside a bullish trend corridor, yet the MACD histogram is negative (‑87,287) signaling short‑term bearish momentum. The RSI sits at 48, indicating a neutral stance, while price remains above the identified support of KRW 3,488,000 and below resistance at KRW 4,742,000. Volatility is high at 72% (30‑day) and beta around 1.18, suggesting the stock is more volatile than the market. Fundamentals show solid top‑line growth (+11% YoY revenue) and a healthy ROE of 22%, but a heavy debt load (debt‑to‑equity 34.18) and a DCF fair value of only KRW 368,000 imply the market price is significantly overvalued. The forward PE of 29.9 aligns closely with the industry average of 30.1, and the dividend yield is modest at 0.2% with a low payout ratio (13.8%), supporting dividend sustainability.
Given the “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 91.5) and a strong analyst consensus of “strong buy,” the upside potential is estimated at ~20%, but the combination of high volatility, bearish MACD, and an overvalued DCF suggests a cautious approach. Investors should monitor volume trends (currently decreasing) and price action near the support‑resistance band for entry or exit signals.
Given the “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 91.5) and a strong analyst consensus of “strong buy,” the upside potential is estimated at ~20%, but the combination of high volatility, bearish MACD, and an overvalued DCF suggests a cautious approach. Investors should monitor volume trends (currently decreasing) and price action near the support‑resistance band for entry or exit signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
- Price approaching resistance at KRW 4,742,000 with limited upside
- High 30‑day volatility and decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth (+11% YoY) and strong ROE (22%)
- Solid operating cash flow supporting earnings sustainability
- Market overreaction indicated by DCF fair value far below price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for power infrastructure and renewable energy solutions
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio may constrain future leverage capacity
- Sustained dividend with low payout ratio but limited yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.90%
Profit Margin8.71%
P/E Ratio29.9
ROE22.13%
ROA6.38%
Debt/Equity34.18
Op. Cash Flow₩493.0B
Free Cash Flow₩193.8B
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.2
Support₩3,488,000.00
Resistance₩4,742,000.00
MA 20₩4,008,700.00
MA 50₩3,325,460.00
MA 200₩2,235,860.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair Value₩368,411.91
Target Price₩4,406,250.00
Upside/Downside20.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.20%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.18
Volatility72.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.