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293:HKEXCathay Pacific Airways Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-26 - not real-time

¥1,715.00

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

St.Cousair Co., Ltd. is currently trading at ¥1,715, modestly below its discounted cash flow fair value of roughly ¥1,770, indicating a price discount. Technical indicators are supportive: the MACD is bullish (line above signal with a positive histogram) and the RSI sits at 62, showing momentum without being overbought. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the price is sandwiched between a support level of ¥1,666 and resistance at ¥1,720, suggesting limited short‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 7.7% revenue growth rate, generates solid cash flow (operating cash flow ~¥1.5 bn, free cash flow ~¥0.9 bn) and maintains a dividend payout ratio of about 52%, underpinning its 2.04% dividend yield. With an exceptionally low beta and 30‑day volatility around 8%, the stock exhibits a defensive, low‑risk profile, reinforced by its placement in the consumer defensive sector.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD with positive histogram
  • Price trading below DCF fair value
  • Decreasing volume indicating caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
  • Revenue growth above 7% in a defensive sector

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and modest volatility
  • Defensive consumer goods positioning
  • Consistent dividend payout and payout ratio under 60%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.70%
Profit Margin3.00%
P/E Ratio25.7
ROE12.18%
ROA5.08%
Debt/Equity33.58
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow¥1.5B
Free Cash Flow¥898.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.0
Support¥1,666.00
Resistance¥1,720.00
MA 20¥1,689.55
MA 50¥1,688.50
MA 200¥1,706.35
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.25

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,770.19
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility8.31%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.