293:HKEXCathay Pacific Airways Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-26 - not real-time
¥1,715.00
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
St.Cousair Co., Ltd. is currently trading at ¥1,715, modestly below its discounted cash flow fair value of roughly ¥1,770, indicating a price discount. Technical indicators are supportive: the MACD is bullish (line above signal with a positive histogram) and the RSI sits at 62, showing momentum without being overbought. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the price is sandwiched between a support level of ¥1,666 and resistance at ¥1,720, suggesting limited short‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 7.7% revenue growth rate, generates solid cash flow (operating cash flow ~¥1.5 bn, free cash flow ~¥0.9 bn) and maintains a dividend payout ratio of about 52%, underpinning its 2.04% dividend yield. With an exceptionally low beta and 30‑day volatility around 8%, the stock exhibits a defensive, low‑risk profile, reinforced by its placement in the consumer defensive sector.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 7.7% revenue growth rate, generates solid cash flow (operating cash flow ~¥1.5 bn, free cash flow ~¥0.9 bn) and maintains a dividend payout ratio of about 52%, underpinning its 2.04% dividend yield. With an exceptionally low beta and 30‑day volatility around 8%, the stock exhibits a defensive, low‑risk profile, reinforced by its placement in the consumer defensive sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD with positive histogram
- Price trading below DCF fair value
- Decreasing volume indicating caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to intrinsic value
- Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
- Revenue growth above 7% in a defensive sector
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low beta and modest volatility
- Defensive consumer goods positioning
- Consistent dividend payout and payout ratio under 60%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.70%
Profit Margin3.00%
P/E Ratio25.7
ROE12.18%
ROA5.08%
Debt/Equity33.58
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow¥1.5B
Free Cash Flow¥898.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI62.0
Support¥1,666.00
Resistance¥1,720.00
MA 20¥1,689.55
MA 50¥1,688.50
MA 200¥1,706.35
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.25
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,770.19
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility8.31%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.