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293:HKEXCathay Pacific Airways Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

¥1,465.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Okamura Foods is trading at ¥1,465, essentially at its 52‑week high of ¥1,469, with the 20‑day SMA (¥1,248.8) comfortably below the current price and a bullish MACD histogram (+¥23.8) confirming upward momentum. However, the RSI of 80.4 signals that the stock is deeply overbought and may face short‑term pressure near the resistance level of ¥1,469. Volume is increasing, supporting the recent rally but also amplifying the risk of a pull‑back.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 20.6% revenue surge and maintains a modest gross margin of ~22%, yet it is burdened by an extreme debt‑to‑equity ratio of 183, zero operating cash flow and free cash flow, and a low dividend yield of 0.55% with a modest payout ratio. The valuation metrics (PE ~30, PB ~3.9) appear stretched given the cash‑flow constraints, while volatility is high at 36% and the Fear & Greed Index reflects “Extreme Greed,” suggesting heightened market euphoria.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but overbought RSI
  • Price near resistance at ¥1,469
  • Rising volume supporting short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth of 20% YoY
  • High debt load and zero cash flow
  • Elevated valuation multiples (PE ~30, PB ~3.9)

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable leverage (Debt/Equity > 180)
  • Lack of operating and free cash flow
  • Low dividend yield and modest payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.60%
Profit Margin6.57%
P/E Ratio30.2
ROE14.63%
ROA4.27%
Debt/Equity183.49
P/B Ratio3.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI80.4
Support¥1,171.00
Resistance¥1,469.00
MA 20¥1,248.80
MA 50¥1,219.30
MA 200¥1,187.14
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.30
Volatility36.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.