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2891:TWSECTBC Financial Holding Company Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

NT$64.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CTBC Financial Holding posted a 16% YoY rise in after‑tax profit, driven by 18.9% revenue growth and strong loan expansion. The stock trades at a PE of 25.1, well above the industry average of 16.9, and sits near its technical support at 63.7 with the current price at 64.1. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI of 33.6 suggests oversold conditions, yet the MACD is bearish and volume is decreasing, pointing to short‑term weakness.
On the fundamentals side, the company delivers robust profitability (gross margin 69%, operating margin 56%, ROE 17%) and a generous dividend yield of 3.52%. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 120.8% and net debt of roughly 177 billion TWD raise leverage concerns, even though cash balances are sizable. The beta near zero and low 30‑day volatility (~3%) indicate limited market‑wide price swings, but the overvaluation and credit profile suggest caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • valuation significantly above peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue and profit growth
  • strong dividend yield
  • solid profitability metrics

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • robust ROE and cash generation
  • ongoing overseas expansion
  • sustainable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.90%
Profit Margin16.06%
P/E Ratio25.1
ROE17.07%
ROA1.68%
Debt/Equity120.82
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowNT$78.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$213.4B
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.6
SupportNT$63.70
ResistanceNT$64.50
MA 20NT$64.38
MA 50NT$64.43
MA 200NT$63.90
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility3.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.