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2890:TWSESinoPac Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

NT$39.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SinoPac Financial is trading at TWD 39.8, just shy of its 52‑week high of TWD 39.9 and above its 20‑day SMA of TWD 32.5, indicating strong upward momentum. The MACD line sits at 1.61 above its signal at 0.89, generating a bullish signal, while the RSI of 81 flags an overbought condition and suggests a possible short‑term pull‑back. Volume is increasing and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at 43.7%, yet the stock’s beta remains low (≈0.2), implying limited market‑wide risk.
On the fundamentals side, revenue surged 39.2% year‑over‑year and the operating margin is a robust 53%, supporting a solid ROE of 12.6%. The dividend yield of 2.29% with a 46% payout ratio adds income appeal, but operating cash flow is negative and total debt exceeds TWD 478 bn, raising concerns about cash sustainability. The forward PE of 13.8 versus a trailing PE of 20.2 and an industry average PE of 16.9 suggest the stock is currently priced on the higher side, with only a modest upside of about 3.3% to the consensus target of TWD 41.1.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Price at resistance near 52‑week high
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Elevated valuation relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained earnings growth and diversification into fintech
  • Stable dividend policy
  • Potential for earnings improvement to justify valuation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth39.20%
Profit Margin38.72%
P/E Ratio20.2
ROE12.62%
ROA0.87%
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$-162684715008
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI81.1
SupportNT$28.65
ResistanceNT$39.90
MA 20NT$32.51
MA 50NT$31.85
MA 200NT$28.88
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target PriceNT$41.13
Upside/Downside3.35%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility43.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.