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288:HKEXWH Group Ltd. (HK) Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

NT$122.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fubon Financial Holding (288) is trading at TWD 122, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 109.5, 50‑day SMA of 97.9 and 200‑day SMA of 92.5, indicating a strong bullish trend. The MACD line sits at 7.64 above its signal at 6.49, reinforcing momentum, while the RSI of 71.6 signals the stock is in overbought territory but still within a bullish regime. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, supporting the price advance toward the resistance level of 129. Fundamentally, the forward PE of 14.58 is well below the industry average of 16.83, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to peers. A dividend yield of 3.4% with a payout ratio near 50% appears sustainable given robust free cash flow of over TWD 1.16 trillion. The company’s ROE of 18.7% and operating margin near 48% highlight strong profitability, while a low beta of 0.38 points to limited market volatility. However, a 30‑day volatility of 38.8% and a max drawdown of -12.4% remind investors of the inherent risk in the financial sector.
Looking ahead, the upcoming Q1 2026 earnings call provides a catalyst that could validate the current momentum. The combination of a solid dividend, attractive valuation metrics, and diversified financial services positions the stock for medium‑ to long‑term upside, provided regulatory and geographic risks remain contained. Investors should monitor the approaching resistance at 129 and any shifts in the overbought RSI, while the underlying fundamentals support a continued bullish outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
  • RSI in overbought zone suggesting short‑term caution
  • Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings call as a near‑term catalyst

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE and attractive dividend yield
  • Strong profitability metrics (high ROE, operating margin)
  • Low beta and increasing volume supporting stable price appreciation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend payout with solid free cash flow
  • Diversified financial services platform reducing single‑segment risk
  • Consistent earnings growth and robust balance sheet despite moderate leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth175.60%
Profit Margin17.56%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE18.73%
ROA2.01%
Debt/Equity80.87
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$-28793880576
Free Cash FlowNT$1164.4B
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI71.6
SupportNT$94.30
ResistanceNT$129.00
MA 20NT$109.53
MA 50NT$97.92
MA 200NT$92.52
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$3,124.10
Target PriceNT$105.98
Upside/Downside-13.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.39
Volatility38.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.