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2882:TWSECathay Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥1,954.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at ¥1,954, which sits below the 20‑day (¥2,020), 50‑day (¥2,037) and 200‑day (¥2,034) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish bias. RSI at 35 suggests modest oversold pressure, while the MACD histogram is negative and the line remains under the signal, confirming downward momentum. Volume is trending higher, yet the price remains constrained between a support near ¥1,912 and resistance around ¥2,104, indicating limited upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company carries a high trailing P/E of 74.3, far above market norms, though a forward P/E of 21.3 hints at potential re‑rating if earnings accelerate. Revenue growth of 11.8% and a gross margin of 41.8% are positive, but operating margins (3.5%) and net profit margin (0.38%) are thin, and ROE sits at just 1.1%. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 85%, raising solvency concerns, while the dividend yield is modest at 0.77% with a payout ratio of 48%. Low beta (0.12) and a 30‑day volatility of 15.5% suggest limited price swings, but thin trading volumes heighten liquidity risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI
  • High trailing P/E relative to earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E suggests valuation could improve
  • Revenue growth above 10%
  • Elevated debt levels may limit upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta indicates defensive characteristics
  • Modest dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Structural challenges in margins and high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.80%
Profit Margin0.38%
P/E Ratio74.4
ROE1.13%
ROA2.18%
Debt/Equity85.20
P/B Ratio2.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
Support¥1,912.00
Resistance¥2,104.00
MA 20¥2,020.35
MA 50¥2,037.02
MA 200¥2,033.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility15.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.