285A:TSEKioxia Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
¥51,290.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KIOXIA HOLDINGS CORPORATION (285A.T) is currently trading at ¥51,290, which sits about 15% below its discounted cash‑flow fair value estimate of ¥10,662 (upside potential). The stock shows a strong bullish technical backdrop – a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line above signal) and a steep 20‑day SMA of ¥41,008 well above the 50‑day SMA of ¥30,521, though the RSI of 70.3 flags the market as overbought.
Material news highlights the company’s preparation for a U.S. listing as AI‑driven memory demand surges, adding a growth catalyst that could support the bullish price action while the balance sheet remains leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 90%.
Material news highlights the company’s preparation for a U.S. listing as AI‑driven memory demand surges, adding a growth catalyst that could support the bullish price action while the balance sheet remains leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 90%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Overbought RSI indicating potential short‑term pullback
- Strong bullish MACD and SMA alignment
- Support level at ¥30,090 providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- AI memory demand driving revenue growth
- DCF upside of ~15% suggesting price undervaluation
- Stable volume and solid market cap supporting liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic move toward U.S. listing expanding capital access
- High operating margin (59.5%) and strong ROE (52%) indicating efficient operations
- Long‑term secular growth in semiconductor storage market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth188.90%
Profit Margin23.72%
P/E Ratio50.8
ROE51.90%
ROA16.46%
Debt/Equity89.57
P/B Ratio20.0
Op. Cash Flow¥616.5B
Free Cash Flow¥186.8B
Industry P/E38.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI70.3
Support¥30,090.00
Resistance¥53,490.00
MA 20¥41,008.00
MA 50¥30,521.00
MA 200¥14,884.05
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89
Valuation
Fair Value¥10,662.72
Target Price¥58,992.86
Upside/Downside15.02%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.30
Volatility107.23%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.