We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

282330:KRXBGF retail CO., LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time

₩132,500.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BGF Retail is trading tightly around its short‑term moving averages, with price hugging the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA lines and sitting just above the long‑term average. The RSI hovers in the mid‑50s, indicating a lack of clear momentum, while the MACD has turned bearish and volume has been on a downtrend, suggesting short‑term pressure. Despite this technical softness, the stock boasts a strong dividend yield of over three percent with a payout ratio well below fifty percent, underscoring cash‑flow resilience. The company’s balance sheet shows ample cash relative to modest debt, and free cash flow remains robust, supporting the dividend and providing a cushion against earnings volatility. A discounted cash flow model places fair value well above the current price, implying roughly a quarter upside, and analyst consensus is overwhelmingly positive.
Given the defensive consumer sector, low systematic risk (beta near zero), and solid fundamentals, the outlook remains favorable, especially for investors seeking income and value exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest limited upside in the near term
  • Current price near key moving averages provides a clear technical reference point
  • Attractive dividend yield offers downside protection

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation indicates ~24% upside potential
  • Stable cash generation supports continued dividend payments
  • Defensive grocery sector buffers earnings against economic cycles

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and defensive positioning reduce market‑wide volatility exposure
  • Strong balance sheet and high free cash flow enable sustainable growth
  • Consistent dividend policy enhances total return over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin2.30%
P/E Ratio9.7
ROE17.62%
ROA4.91%
Debt/Equity1.55
Op. Cash Flow₩809.3B
Free Cash Flow₩1004.9B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.5
Support₩120,500.00
Resistance₩146,000.00
MA 20₩132,320.00
MA 50₩132,488.00
MA 200₩118,361.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.38

Valuation

Fair Value₩1,000,934.67
Target Price₩164,600.00
Upside/Downside24.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility46.97%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.