2811:TSEKagome Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
¥2,559.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kagome trades at ¥2,560, below its 20‑day SMA of ¥2,578 and 50‑day SMA of ¥2,711, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI is around 41, neither overbought nor oversold, while the MACD histogram is positive (~6.8) and the signal line turned bullish, hinting at a possible near‑term reversal.
Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of ~15.9 versus a forward PE of ~11.5, and a price‑to‑book of 1.23, placing the stock near the lower end of its historical range. The dividend yield of 2.29% with a payout ratio under 30% appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and ample cash on hand.
However, revenue growth is flat at 0.6% and operating margins are modest (~6%). Debt‑to‑equity stands at 37, and the 30‑day volatility of ~19% combined with decreasing volume adds a modest liquidity concern. The beta is essentially zero, reflecting minimal market‑wide price swings.
Overall, the stock offers a modest upside of about 7% to the analyst target of ¥2,750, while downside risk is limited by strong cash generation and defensive sector positioning.
Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of ~15.9 versus a forward PE of ~11.5, and a price‑to‑book of 1.23, placing the stock near the lower end of its historical range. The dividend yield of 2.29% with a payout ratio under 30% appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and ample cash on hand.
However, revenue growth is flat at 0.6% and operating margins are modest (~6%). Debt‑to‑equity stands at 37, and the 30‑day volatility of ~19% combined with decreasing volume adds a modest liquidity concern. The beta is essentially zero, reflecting minimal market‑wide price swings.
Overall, the stock offers a modest upside of about 7% to the analyst target of ¥2,750, while downside risk is limited by strong cash generation and defensive sector positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near support at ¥2,513
- bearish SMA hierarchy suggests downside pressure
- positive MACD histogram indicates potential reversal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- forward PE of ~11.5 signals valuation upside
- stable dividend yield of 2.29% with low payout ratio
- consumer defensive sector provides resilience
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- consistent dividend policy and cash generation
- near‑zero beta limits market volatility exposure
- manageable debt level supported by strong cash reserves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin4.76%
P/E Ratio15.9
ROE7.70%
ROA3.92%
Debt/Equity36.92
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥27.7B
Free Cash Flow¥3.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.2
Support¥2,513.00
Resistance¥2,734.00
MA 20¥2,576.78
MA 50¥2,710.57
MA 200¥2,782.11
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.52
Valuation
Target Price¥2,750.00
Upside/Downside7.44%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility19.25%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.