2801:TWSEChang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
NT$20.30
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank trades at a price‑to‑earnings ratio of 13.5, notably below the industry average of 16.8, and its price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests the stock is barely above book value. The bank delivers a solid dividend yield of 2.46% with a comfortable payout ratio of roughly 33%, indicating dividend sustainability. Financially, the institution shows a healthy operating margin of 53% and a respectable ROE of 8.7%, while its low beta of 0.27 and modest 30‑day volatility of 11.7% point to limited price swings. However, operating cash flow is negative and the max drawdown sits at –7.8%, underscoring some liquidity concerns.
Technical indicators show the stock price at 20.3 TWD, just above the identified support of 20.15 TWD and below the resistance of 21.45 TWD. The 20‑day SMA (20.72) and 50‑day SMA (20.81) sit above the current price, the RSI is at 38 (bordering oversold), and the MACD histogram is negative, all hinting at a short‑term neutral to slightly bearish bias despite increasing volume and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (fear‑greed index 91.6).
Technical indicators show the stock price at 20.3 TWD, just above the identified support of 20.15 TWD and below the resistance of 21.45 TWD. The 20‑day SMA (20.72) and 50‑day SMA (20.81) sit above the current price, the RSI is at 38 (bordering oversold), and the MACD histogram is negative, all hinting at a short‑term neutral to slightly bearish bias despite increasing volume and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (fear‑greed index 91.6).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support level
- Bearish MACD signal
- RSI approaching oversold territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers (PE 13.5 vs 16.8)
- Attractive dividend yield and payout ratio
- Stable earnings and strong operating margin
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and solid ROE
- Low beta and modest volatility
- Sustainable dividend policy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.00%
Profit Margin43.06%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE8.73%
ROA0.56%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$-253217013760
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.8
SupportNT$20.15
ResistanceNT$21.45
MA 20NT$20.72
MA 50NT$20.81
MA 200NT$20.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility11.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.