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2801:TWSEChang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

NT$20.30

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank trades at a price‑to‑earnings ratio of 13.5, notably below the industry average of 16.8, and its price‑to‑book of 1.06 suggests the stock is barely above book value. The bank delivers a solid dividend yield of 2.46% with a comfortable payout ratio of roughly 33%, indicating dividend sustainability. Financially, the institution shows a healthy operating margin of 53% and a respectable ROE of 8.7%, while its low beta of 0.27 and modest 30‑day volatility of 11.7% point to limited price swings. However, operating cash flow is negative and the max drawdown sits at –7.8%, underscoring some liquidity concerns.
Technical indicators show the stock price at 20.3 TWD, just above the identified support of 20.15 TWD and below the resistance of 21.45 TWD. The 20‑day SMA (20.72) and 50‑day SMA (20.81) sit above the current price, the RSI is at 38 (bordering oversold), and the MACD histogram is negative, all hinting at a short‑term neutral to slightly bearish bias despite increasing volume and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (fear‑greed index 91.6).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support level
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • RSI approaching oversold territory

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (PE 13.5 vs 16.8)
  • Attractive dividend yield and payout ratio
  • Stable earnings and strong operating margin

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent profitability and solid ROE
  • Low beta and modest volatility
  • Sustainable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.00%
Profit Margin43.06%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE8.73%
ROA0.56%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$-253217013760
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.8
SupportNT$20.15
ResistanceNT$21.45
MA 20NT$20.72
MA 50NT$20.81
MA 200NT$20.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility11.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.