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2801:TSEKikkoman Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥1,357.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kikkoman (2801.T) is trading at ¥1,357, just above the identified support level of ¥1,355.5 and slightly above its 200‑day SMA (¥1,350.6), while remaining under the 20‑day (¥1,455.5) and 50‑day (¥1,434.8) averages, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 36 points to a near‑oversold condition, but the MACD remains firmly bearish with a widening negative histogram, suggesting momentum may stay weak in the near term. On the fundamentals side, the company delivers solid revenue growth of 7.9% and a respectable ROE of 11%, yet its PE of 22× and PB of 2.3× place it near fair valuation, though the upside potential of roughly 18% versus analyst targets signals undervaluation. Dividend sustainability looks strong, with a 2.17% yield and a modest 37% payout ratio, supported by stable cash flows. The stock’s low beta (≈0.19) and defensive consumer‑goods positioning temper market volatility, though a 30‑day volatility of 36% and a max drawdown of 22% highlight price swings. Overall, the blend of modest growth, defensive sector traits, and attractive dividend makes Kikkoman a candidate for medium‑ to long‑term accumulation, while short‑term caution is warranted due to technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering just above the support level of ¥1,355.5
  • bearish MACD histogram indicating continued downward momentum
  • RSI near oversold territory (36) suggesting limited upside in the immediate term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • revenue growth of ~8% YoY and solid operating margins
  • undervalued relative to analyst median target price of ¥1,555
  • stable dividend yield of 2.17% with a comfortable 37% payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • consistent cash generation and strong brand equity in the global soy‑sauce market
  • low beta (~0.19) underscoring defensive, low‑volatility characteristics
  • long‑term upside potential of ~18% based on upside/downside metric

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.90%
Profit Margin8.19%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE11.04%
ROA6.54%
Debt/Equity10.96
P/B Ratio2.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI36.1
Support¥1,355.50
Resistance¥1,536.50
MA 20¥1,455.53
MA 50¥1,434.75
MA 200¥1,350.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.23

Valuation

Target Price¥1,607.50
Upside/Downside18.46%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility36.18%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.