2801:TSEKikkoman Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kikkoman (2801.T) is trading at ¥1,357, just above the identified support level of ¥1,355.5 and slightly above its 200‑day SMA (¥1,350.6), while remaining under the 20‑day (¥1,455.5) and 50‑day (¥1,434.8) averages, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 36 points to a near‑oversold condition, but the MACD remains firmly bearish with a widening negative histogram, suggesting momentum may stay weak in the near term. On the fundamentals side, the company delivers solid revenue growth of 7.9% and a respectable ROE of 11%, yet its PE of 22× and PB of 2.3× place it near fair valuation, though the upside potential of roughly 18% versus analyst targets signals undervaluation. Dividend sustainability looks strong, with a 2.17% yield and a modest 37% payout ratio, supported by stable cash flows. The stock’s low beta (≈0.19) and defensive consumer‑goods positioning temper market volatility, though a 30‑day volatility of 36% and a max drawdown of 22% highlight price swings. Overall, the blend of modest growth, defensive sector traits, and attractive dividend makes Kikkoman a candidate for medium‑ to long‑term accumulation, while short‑term caution is warranted due to technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- price hovering just above the support level of ¥1,355.5
- bearish MACD histogram indicating continued downward momentum
- RSI near oversold territory (36) suggesting limited upside in the immediate term
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- revenue growth of ~8% YoY and solid operating margins
- undervalued relative to analyst median target price of ¥1,555
- stable dividend yield of 2.17% with a comfortable 37% payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- consistent cash generation and strong brand equity in the global soy‑sauce market
- low beta (~0.19) underscoring defensive, low‑volatility characteristics
- long‑term upside potential of ~18% based on upside/downside metric
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.