2799:HKEXChina CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
HK$0.59
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
China CITIC Financial Asset Management is trading at HK$0.59, just above its 20‑day SMA (0.58) but well below the 50‑day (0.61) and 200‑day (0.80) averages, confirming a short‑term bearish bias while the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at a potential near‑term bounce toward the resistance at HK$0.62.
Fundamentally, the stock appears deeply discounted with a trailing PE of 3.93 versus an industry average of 18, yet it carries an extreme debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 1,800% and a negative gross margin of –55%, indicating significant balance‑sheet stress; the firm generates modest ROE (~18%) and operating cash flow, but no dividend and a forward EPS outlook that is negative, all under a high 30‑day volatility of 44% despite a low beta of 0.38.
Fundamentally, the stock appears deeply discounted with a trailing PE of 3.93 versus an industry average of 18, yet it carries an extreme debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 1,800% and a negative gross margin of –55%, indicating significant balance‑sheet stress; the firm generates modest ROE (~18%) and operating cash flow, but no dividend and a forward EPS outlook that is negative, all under a high 30‑day volatility of 44% despite a low beta of 0.38.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above the 20‑day SMA with support at HK$0.55
- Bearish trend direction but bullish MACD signal
- High short‑term volatility (44% 30‑day)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant undervaluation relative to industry PE
- Elevated leverage (debt‑to‑equity >1,800%) and negative gross margin
- Stable trading volume providing liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential asset‑restructuring benefits from distressed‑asset focus
- Low beta suggests limited market‑wide price swings
- Undervalued price offering margin of safety if balance‑sheet improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin198.58%
P/E Ratio3.9
ROE18.38%
ROA0.93%
Debt/Equity1816.92
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowHK$16.8B
Industry P/E18.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.7
SupportHK$0.55
ResistanceHK$0.62
MA 20HK$0.58
MA 50HK$0.61
MA 200HK$0.80
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Target PriceHK$0.90
Upside/Downside53.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility44.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.