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270:HKEXGuangdong Investment Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-20 - not real-time

NT$12.30

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Hotel Holiday Garden is neutral at TWD 12.30, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. It has lost 7.2% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 39.6 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at TWD 12.10 and resistance at TWD 13.00.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 15.0 with no clean sector comparison available. Revenue is growing at 7.6% on a 8.8% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 13.8%, a beta of 0.45 and a maximum drawdown of 31.7%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.60
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -7.2%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.60
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • P/E ratio of 15.0

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E ratio of 15.0
  • Price-to-book of 0.56
  • Positive free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin8.81%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE4.01%
ROA1.22%
Debt/Equity94.81
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$354.4M
Free Cash FlowNT$938.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.6
SupportNT$12.10
ResistanceNT$13.00
MA 20NT$12.47
MA 50NT$12.76
MA 200NT$12.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.84

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$102.53
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility13.85%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.