2601:HKEXChina Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
NT$4.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Steamship Co., Ltd. is trading at a steep discount to its DCF-derived fair value of 28.6 TWD, with the current price of 4.8 TWD near its technical support of 4.70 TWD. The stock shows bearish momentum – the 20‑day SMA (5.10) sits below both the 50‑day (5.70) and 200‑day (5.73) averages, the MACD is bearish, and the RSI is deep in oversold territory at 27. However, volume remains stable and the price is just above support, suggesting a limited upside cushion in the short run.
Fundamentally, the company faces significant headwinds: revenue is down 51%, profit margins are strongly negative (‑72%), and debt-to-equity is elevated at nearly 29, dwarfing its cash reserves. No dividend is paid, and earnings per share are minimal. The sector (Consumer Cyclical – Department Stores & Shipping) is highly sensitive to global trade cycles, adding to the downside risk despite the extreme greed sentiment in broader markets.
Fundamentally, the company faces significant headwinds: revenue is down 51%, profit margins are strongly negative (‑72%), and debt-to-equity is elevated at nearly 29, dwarfing its cash reserves. No dividend is paid, and earnings per share are minimal. The sector (Consumer Cyclical – Department Stores & Shipping) is highly sensitive to global trade cycles, adding to the downside risk despite the extreme greed sentiment in broader markets.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above the identified support level
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Stable volume despite bearish trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Continued revenue contraction and negative profit margins
- High leverage relative to cash holdings
- Cyclical exposure of the shipping and retail segments
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Significant discount to DCF fair value
- Potential recovery in global dry‑bulk shipping rates
- Undervalued price-to-book ratio providing a margin of safety
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-51.00%
Profit Margin-72.43%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE-0.43%
ROA0.43%
Debt/Equity28.96
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowNT$1.3B
Free Cash FlowNT$1.9B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI27.2
SupportNT$4.70
ResistanceNT$5.64
MA 20NT$5.10
MA 50NT$5.70
MA 200NT$5.73
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.14
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$28.63
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.36
Volatility19.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.