2579:TSECoca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
HK$34.14
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CNGR Advanced Material trades at HK$34.14, sitting below its 20‑day (35.47) and 50‑day (35.75) moving averages while remaining just above the 200‑day average (33.07). The RSI of 46 and a bearish MACD histogram indicate neutral‑to‑downward momentum, and volume is trending lower, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure. Volatility is elevated at 73% over the past 30 days and beta of 1.16 points to higher market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the company posted 18.8% revenue growth but margins are thin (gross 11.9%, operating 7.96%) and free cash flow is negative, while debt‑to‑equity sits near 100%, flagging balance‑sheet strain. The current PE of 21.6 contracts to a forward PE of 15, and the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$30.2 is below the market price, implying overvaluation despite a consensus target of HK$47 and a Greed‑driven market sentiment index of 72.9.
Fundamentally, the company posted 18.8% revenue growth but margins are thin (gross 11.9%, operating 7.96%) and free cash flow is negative, while debt‑to‑equity sits near 100%, flagging balance‑sheet strain. The current PE of 21.6 contracts to a forward PE of 15, and the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$30.2 is below the market price, implying overvaluation despite a consensus target of HK$47 and a Greed‑driven market sentiment index of 72.9.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 18.8% revenue growth and improving forward PE
- Consensus target price of HK$47 (~38% upside)
- Secular demand for battery materials in EV and ESS markets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong secular tailwinds for lithium‑ion batteries
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity and negative free cash flow
- Potential regulatory and environmental headwinds in specialty chemicals
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin2.90%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE4.30%
ROA2.15%
Debt/Equity99.67
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.3B
Free Cash FlowHK$-5770251776
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.0
SupportHK$30.28
ResistanceHK$40.50
MA 20HK$35.47
MA 50HK$35.75
MA 200HK$33.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$30.17
Target PriceHK$47.00
Upside/Downside37.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.16
Volatility73.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.