251270:KRXNetmarble Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
₩41,250.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Netmarble is trading well below its 20‑day (≈44,970 KRW), 50‑day (≈48,544 KRW) and 200‑day (≈53,597 KRW) simple moving averages, with price hovering just above the identified support at 41,000 KRW and far beneath the resistance near 52,200 KRW. The RSI sits in the low‑30s, indicating oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming bearish momentum on the short side. Despite this technical weakness, the stock shows a striking valuation gap: a forward P/E of about 9.9 versus an industry average of 17.1, and a discounted cash‑flow fair value of roughly 91,000 KRW, implying more than 60% upside potential. Extreme Greed sentiment (fear‑greed index 92.3) further suggests market optimism may be undervaluing the upside.
Fundamentally, Netmarble posted a 4.5% YoY revenue increase in Q1 2026, maintains healthy operating (≈8%) and profit margins (≈12.5%), and generates strong free cash flow that comfortably covers its debt, reflected in a modest payout ratio of 20% and a sustainable 2.12% dividend yield. Low beta (≈0.43) points to limited systematic risk, though volatility is high (≈40% 30‑day) and leverage is elevated (debt‑to‑equity >23). The combination of solid cash reserves, attractive dividend, and significant valuation upside supports a bullish outlook over the medium to long term.
Fundamentally, Netmarble posted a 4.5% YoY revenue increase in Q1 2026, maintains healthy operating (≈8%) and profit margins (≈12.5%), and generates strong free cash flow that comfortably covers its debt, reflected in a modest payout ratio of 20% and a sustainable 2.12% dividend yield. Low beta (≈0.43) points to limited systematic risk, though volatility is high (≈40% 30‑day) and leverage is elevated (debt‑to‑equity >23). The combination of solid cash reserves, attractive dividend, and significant valuation upside supports a bullish outlook over the medium to long term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited upside in the near term
- RSI oversold suggesting a possible short‑term bounce
- Decreasing volume indicating cautious market participation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside (>60%) versus current price
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.12% with low payout ratio
- Steady revenue growth and solid operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position relative to debt providing financial flexibility
- Undervalued relative to industry peers and attractive DCF fair value
- Long‑term growth potential in the electronic gaming & multimedia sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin12.54%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE6.41%
ROA2.65%
Debt/Equity23.33
Op. Cash Flow₩324.0B
Free Cash Flow₩492.9B
Industry P/E17.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.7
Support₩41,000.00
Resistance₩52,200.00
MA 20₩44,970.00
MA 50₩48,544.00
MA 200₩53,596.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value₩91,165.37
Target Price₩67,214.29
Upside/Downside62.94%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.12%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.43
Volatility40.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.