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2501:TSESapporo Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time

¥1,845.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sapporo Breweries Limited is priced at ¥1,845.00, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 12.5%. Relative strength is 39.1 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at ¥1,820.50 up to resistance at ¥2,060.00.
The shares look overvalued at 76.2 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. The average analyst target implies 25.1% below today's level. The 2.13% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 30.3%, a beta of -0.20 and a maximum drawdown of 19.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on sell — conviction 6 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1756.39
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -12.5%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 2.13% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1756.39
  • Analyst targets imply -25.1% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 2.13% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply -25.1% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 62.9% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin62.87%
P/E Ratio76.2
ROE2.38%
ROA1.06%
Debt/Equity28.82
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥37.5B
Free Cash Flow¥-136895627264

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.1
Support¥1,820.50
Resistance¥2,060.00
MA 20¥1,910.60
MA 50¥1,960.94
MA 200¥1,756.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.02

Valuation

Fair Value¥695.44
Target Price¥1,381.00
Upside/Downside-25.15%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.20
Volatility30.27%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.