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2433:TSEZhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

HK$0.08

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical snapshot: The 20‑day SMA (0.0876) sits above both the 50‑day (0.0808) and 200‑day (0.0815) averages, hinting at a modest short‑term upside, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while RSI hovers at 47, suggesting neutral momentum. Volatility is extreme at 86.7% over the past 30 days, and beta is low (0.46), meaning price swings are large but not strongly correlated with the market.
Fundamental backdrop: The stock trades at a deep discount – PB of 0.10 and price‑to‑sales of 0.08 – but earnings are negative (trailing EPS -0.15), margins are in the red (gross 9.9%, operating -24.9%), and ROE is -16.9%. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 22.4, with a max drawdown of 69%, and cash flow generation is essentially zero. No dividend is paid. These mixed signals make the company appear undervalued on price multiples but financially distressed.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal despite SMA crossover
  • High short‑term price volatility
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Deep valuation discount (PB 0.10, P/S 0.08)
  • Persistent negative earnings and cash flow
  • Potential for restructuring given low market cap

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant undervaluation relative to book and sales
  • Low beta suggests limited market‑wide risk exposure
  • Opportunity for turnaround if debt is managed and operations improve

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-58.20%
Profit Margin-12.88%
ROE-16.92%
ROA-2.32%
Debt/Equity22.39
P/B Ratio0.1
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.4
SupportHK$0.08
ResistanceHK$0.12
MA 20HK$0.09
MA 50HK$0.08
MA 200HK$0.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.77

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility86.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.