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2413:TSEM3, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

¥1,417.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

M3, Inc. is trading below both its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price bias despite a bullish‑labelled MACD histogram. The RSI sits in the low‑forties, confirming downward momentum, while volume has been on an upward trend and 30‑day price volatility remains elevated, underscoring heightened short‑term risk. Fundamentally, the company posts modest revenue growth, healthy gross and operating margins, and robust operating and free cash flow that comfortably cover its dividend payout, rendering the dividend stream sustainable. Valuation metrics place the stock on the cheaper side of its peer group, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average and a price‑to‑book ratio that suggests a value‑oriented profile. Together, these dynamics paint a picture of a defensively positioned, undervalued healthcare play that faces notable market‑price volatility and a sizable historical drawdown, but benefits from solid fundamentals and defensive beta characteristics.
The risk landscape is shaped by a combination of high price swing, a pronounced historical drawdown, and sector‑specific regulatory considerations typical of health‑information services, while geographic and currency exposures remain relatively contained. Liquidity appears adequate given rising volume trends and a sizable market cap, supporting the ability to enter and exit positions without undue friction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • current price below short‑term averages
  • bearish momentum signals
  • support level near the identified support zone

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued relative to industry PE
  • solid cash flow and dividend coverage
  • moderate revenue growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable dividend yield
  • strong operating margins
  • low beta indicating defensive profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.60%
Profit Margin13.97%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE12.58%
ROA7.29%
Debt/Equity7.42
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow¥70.3B
Free Cash Flow¥62.6B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.5
Support¥1,297.00
Resistance¥1,572.00
MA 20¥1,427.05
MA 50¥1,542.39
MA 200¥1,980.42
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,015.37
Target Price¥2,328.46
Upside/Downside64.27%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility34.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.