2388:HKEX

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

HK$41.98

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited is trading at roughly HK$42, comfortably above its 30‑day support of HK$40.2 but below the 20‑day SMA of HK$43.0, indicating a short‑term price cushion within a broader bullish trend (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA). The stock’s PE of about 11 is well under the industry average of 17, and the dividend yield of 5.45% with a payout ratio below 60% suggests a sustainable income stream. However, the MACD shows bearish momentum and the 30‑day volatility of 27% signals notable price swings, while operating cash flow is negative despite a massive cash buffer and low leverage (beta ~0.2).
Overall, the combination of undervalued valuation metrics, solid earnings growth (≈10% YoY), and an attractive dividend outweighs the near‑term technical softness and cash‑flow concerns, supporting a positive outlook for medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bullish SMA alignment
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating possible short‑term pullback
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
  • Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Revenue growth above 10% and stable capital position

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent earnings generation and solid ROE
  • Low beta and strong liquidity reducing market risk
  • Strategic position in Hong Kong’s banking sector with diversified services

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin57.95%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROE12.17%
ROA0.99%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowHK$-327857012736
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.6
SupportHK$40.22
ResistanceHK$44.90
MA 20HK$43.04
MA 50HK$41.20
MA 200HK$37.80
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Target PriceHK$43.05
Upside/Downside2.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility27.01%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.