2388:HKEX
BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
HK$41.98
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited is trading at roughly HK$42, comfortably above its 30‑day support of HK$40.2 but below the 20‑day SMA of HK$43.0, indicating a short‑term price cushion within a broader bullish trend (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA). The stock’s PE of about 11 is well under the industry average of 17, and the dividend yield of 5.45% with a payout ratio below 60% suggests a sustainable income stream. However, the MACD shows bearish momentum and the 30‑day volatility of 27% signals notable price swings, while operating cash flow is negative despite a massive cash buffer and low leverage (beta ~0.2).
Overall, the combination of undervalued valuation metrics, solid earnings growth (≈10% YoY), and an attractive dividend outweighs the near‑term technical softness and cash‑flow concerns, supporting a positive outlook for medium to long horizons.
Overall, the combination of undervalued valuation metrics, solid earnings growth (≈10% YoY), and an attractive dividend outweighs the near‑term technical softness and cash‑flow concerns, supporting a positive outlook for medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with bullish SMA alignment
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating possible short‑term pullback
- Elevated 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
- Revenue growth above 10% and stable capital position
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent earnings generation and solid ROE
- Low beta and strong liquidity reducing market risk
- Strategic position in Hong Kong’s banking sector with diversified services
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin57.95%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROE12.17%
ROA0.99%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowHK$-327857012736
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.6
SupportHK$40.22
ResistanceHK$44.90
MA 20HK$43.04
MA 50HK$41.20
MA 200HK$37.80
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Target PriceHK$43.05
Upside/Downside2.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.45%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility27.01%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.