2377:TWSEMicro-Star International Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
NT$136.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The 20‑day SMA is positioned above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a bullish momentum trend, while the RSI sits just under the 60‑mark, suggesting moderate pressure without imminent overbought conditions. Despite a bearish MACD signal and a negative histogram, the overall trend is classified as bullish with a rising volume trend, and the current price rests just above the identified support level while edging toward a strong resistance ceiling.
On the fundamentals side, revenue growth hovers around five percent with modest gross and profit margins, and the PE ratio of roughly twenty is markedly lower than the industry average of nearly forty, pointing to a valuation advantage. However, the DCF‑derived fair value is well below the present market price, suggesting the stock may be overvalued. The dividend yield of 3.75% is attractive, yet a high payout ratio and negative free‑cash‑flow raise questions about long‑term sustainability, while the company enjoys low debt, ample cash reserves, and a modest beta indicating limited exposure to market swings.
On the fundamentals side, revenue growth hovers around five percent with modest gross and profit margins, and the PE ratio of roughly twenty is markedly lower than the industry average of nearly forty, pointing to a valuation advantage. However, the DCF‑derived fair value is well below the present market price, suggesting the stock may be overvalued. The dividend yield of 3.75% is attractive, yet a high payout ratio and negative free‑cash‑flow raise questions about long‑term sustainability, while the company enjoys low debt, ample cash reserves, and a modest beta indicating limited exposure to market swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend with SMA hierarchy
- Increasing volume
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluated PE vs industry
- Low debt-to-equity and strong cash base
- Moderate revenue growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF suggests lower fair value
- Negative free cash flow
- High volatility and moderate beta
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin3.47%
P/E Ratio20.2
ROE15.40%
ROA5.05%
Debt/Equity13.03
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$5.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$-1316073600
Industry P/E37.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.5
SupportNT$108.00
ResistanceNT$152.50
MA 20NT$129.85
MA 50NT$109.99
MA 200NT$107.46
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.96
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$97.50
Target PriceNT$131.50
Upside/Downside-3.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.75%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.59
Volatility68.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.