2344:TWSEWinbond Electronics Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
NT$128.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical momentum is firmly bullish: the short‑term moving average sits above the medium‑term average, the MACD line is above its signal line with a positive histogram, and the RSI is comfortably above the mid‑range, all pointing to continued upward pressure. Volume is accelerating and market sentiment is in the extreme greed zone, supporting the near‑term rally toward the upper resistance band.
Fundamentals paint a mixed picture: revenue is expanding at a rapid clip and margins remain solid, yet the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple that dwarfs the industry average, indicating overvaluation. Forward earnings estimates suggest a much lower valuation, but cash generation is strained by negative free cash flow and a hefty debt load, raising concerns about dividend sustainability and long‑term financial resilience.
Fundamentals paint a mixed picture: revenue is expanding at a rapid clip and margins remain solid, yet the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple that dwarfs the industry average, indicating overvaluation. Forward earnings estimates suggest a much lower valuation, but cash generation is strained by negative free cash flow and a hefty debt load, raising concerns about dividend sustainability and long‑term financial resilience.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA crossover and MACD alignment
- Strong momentum indicated by RSI and volume surge
- Positive market sentiment (extreme greed)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth but elevated valuation multiples
- Negative free cash flow and high leverage
- Potential upside still present but tempered by valuation gap
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for memory and specialty semiconductors
- Overvaluation relative to industry peers
- Balance‑sheet risk from debt and cash flow constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth91.30%
Profit Margin14.09%
P/E Ratio146.0
ROE12.93%
ROA5.79%
Debt/Equity62.97
P/B Ratio5.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$23.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$-11806590976
Industry P/E39.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.8
SupportNT$88.80
ResistanceNT$136.50
MA 20NT$112.56
MA 50NT$103.99
MA 200NT$71.72
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.63
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$119.33
Target PriceNT$146.00
Upside/Downside13.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.40%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility78.43%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.