2344:TWSEWinbond Electronics Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
NT$218.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Winbond is trading at its 52‑week high with bullish momentum signals – the MACD line sits above its signal and the short‑term trend is classified as bullish – but the RSI is deep in overbought territory, suggesting a near‑term pull‑back risk.
Fundamentally the company shows explosive revenue growth and a forward earnings multiple that looks attractive, yet the current price‑to‑earnings ratio is astronomically higher than the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value well below today’s price. Heavy debt, negative free‑cash‑flow and a dividend that is effectively unsustainable add to the downside concerns, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment underscores the speculative nature of the rally.
Fundamentally the company shows explosive revenue growth and a forward earnings multiple that looks attractive, yet the current price‑to‑earnings ratio is astronomically higher than the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value well below today’s price. Heavy debt, negative free‑cash‑flow and a dividend that is effectively unsustainable add to the downside concerns, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment underscores the speculative nature of the rally.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought zone
- price at resistance level
- extremely high valuation multiple
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth trajectory
- forward earnings multiple appears cheap
- bullish technical momentum despite short‑term overbought
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- high debt load and negative free cash flow
- unsustainable dividend policy
- cyclical nature of the semiconductor sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth91.30%
Profit Margin14.09%
P/E Ratio251.1
ROE12.93%
ROA5.79%
Debt/Equity62.03
P/B Ratio8.4
Op. Cash FlowNT$23.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$-10663853056
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI75.1
SupportNT$115.50
ResistanceNT$218.50
MA 20NT$165.73
MA 50NT$127.91
MA 200NT$85.43
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$121.18
Target PriceNT$192.33
Upside/Downside-11.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.23%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.29
Volatility103.33%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.